THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

212 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

1M 4 Nov 2026

A Hormuz agreement is announced by November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 19 vs market -1

AI vs 5%

1M 15 Nov 2026

Nvidia halts production of GeForce RTX 5090 graphics cards.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 66

30%

1M 15 Nov 2026

Phantom Blade Zero releases on October 29, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 78

70%

1M 4 Nov 2026

Crude oil closes below $80 on November 2, 2026 and Republicans win the US Senate in the 2026 midterm election.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 34 vs market +42

43%

AI vs 1%

1M 14 Nov 2026

Health Canada begins accepting applications for its academic-led pediatric clinical trials pilot on October 30, 2026.

✚ Health & Medicine spread 19

91%

1M 14 Nov 2026

The FDA selects sponsors for its expedited IND pilot following the October 30, 2026 application deadline.

✚ Health & Medicine spread 60

63%

1M 13 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve raises the target range for the federal funds rate at its 27-28 October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 69

20%

1M 13 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank raises policy interest rates at its 29 October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 28

32%

1M 13 Nov 2026

The Bank of Japan raises its policy interest rate at its 28-29 October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 14

32%

1M 26 Oct 2026

Flávio Bolsonaro wins the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by a margin of 8% to 12%.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 5 vs market +4

AI vs 0%

1M 13 Nov 2026

Commercial vessels face further confirmed attacks in or near the Strait of Hormuz by the end of October 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 18

88%

1M 13 Nov 2026

A sustained halt in hostilities and Israeli airstrikes in Gaza is observed following reported ceasefire talks.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 24

19%

1M 13 Nov 2026

Russia and Ukraine implement a verified mutual halt to strikes targeting energy infrastructure.

⚡ Energy spread 13

1M 13 Nov 2026

The United States joins Saudi military strikes against Houthi forces in Yemen.

▽ Security & Defense spread 49

18%

1M 4 Nov 2026

Crude oil closes below $80 on November 2, 2026 and Democrats win control of the US Senate.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 32 vs market +20

22%

AI vs 2%

1M 12 Nov 2026

Infinix launches the GT 50 Pro in India on October 27, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 26

78%

1M 25 Oct 2026

Aleksandar Vucic becomes the next Prime Minister of Serbia.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 15 vs market +9

12%

AI vs 3%

1M 12 Nov 2026

SpaceX conducts its 35th ISS commercial resupply launch before November 1, 2026.

✦ Space spread 20

81%

1M 11 Nov 2026

Apple officially announces the iPhone 18 series before October 31, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 75

96%

1M 1 Nov 2026

Russia and Ukraine reach a mutual ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 10 vs market +7

AI vs 1%

1M 11 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank increases key interest rates at its next scheduled policy meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 69

35%

1M 11 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve leaves the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 70

84%

1M 11 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve raises the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 24

22%

1M 11 Nov 2026

The Bank of England raises its benchmark interest rate at its November 2026 policy meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 44

33%

1M 11 Nov 2026

Houthi forces launch a new claimed attack against Saudi infrastructure.

▽ Security & Defense spread 60

65%

1M 11 Nov 2026

Iran formally accepts the US response regarding the plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 46

30%

1M 10 Nov 2026

President Trump announces direct US military action against the Houthis in Yemen.

▽ Security & Defense spread 54

39%

1M 10 Nov 2026

The Saudi-led coalition conducts retaliatory military strikes against Houthi targets following the Riyadh airport attack.

▽ Security & Defense spread 16

85%

1M 10 Nov 2026

Nintendo releases a new Switch Sports installment for Switch 2 on October 22, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 26

82%

1M 10 Nov 2026

A coastal wave energy pulse raises sea levels by half a foot along Southern California.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 71

70%

1M 9 Nov 2026

The first Science and Space Symposium takes place in Lisbon on October 21–22, 2026.

✦ Space spread 20

85%

1M 9 Nov 2026

The National Academies Space Studies Board holds its Human Exploration Across the Moon webinar on October 21, 2026.

✦ Space spread 24

86%

1M 9 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank raises key interest rates at its next monetary policy meeting following September 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 62

63%

1M 9 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at the October 28, 2026 FOMC meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 35

20%

1M 4 Nov 2026

The ceasefire between the United States and Iran holds through November 3, 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 19 vs market -4

88%

AI vs 92%

1M 4 Nov 2026

The Democratic Party wins the Michigan U.S. Senate election in 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 32 vs market -9

61%

AI vs 70%

1M 8 Nov 2026

Israel holds its general election on October 27, 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 22

88%

1M 8 Nov 2026

South Korea recalls its ambassador to Ukraine over the disclosure of North Korean prisoners of war.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 8

1M 8 Nov 2026

The United States conducts military strikes against Iran before the November 2026 midterm elections.

▽ Security & Defense spread 33

15%

1M 8 Nov 2026

Nintendo Switch Sports Resort releases on October 22, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 14

88%

Every forecast,in order.

A Hormuz agreement is announced by November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.

Nvidia halts production of GeForce RTX 5090 graphics cards.

Phantom Blade Zero releases on October 29, 2026.

Crude oil closes below $80 on November 2, 2026 and Republicans win the US Senate in the 2026 midterm election.

Health Canada begins accepting applications for its academic-led pediatric clinical trials pilot on October 30, 2026.

The FDA selects sponsors for its expedited IND pilot following the October 30, 2026 application deadline.

The Federal Reserve raises the target range for the federal funds rate at its 27-28 October 2026 meeting.

The European Central Bank raises policy interest rates at its 29 October 2026 meeting.

The Bank of Japan raises its policy interest rate at its 28-29 October 2026 meeting.

Flávio Bolsonaro wins the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by a margin of 8% to 12%.

Commercial vessels face further confirmed attacks in or near the Strait of Hormuz by the end of October 2026.

A sustained halt in hostilities and Israeli airstrikes in Gaza is observed following reported ceasefire talks.

Russia and Ukraine implement a verified mutual halt to strikes targeting energy infrastructure.

The United States joins Saudi military strikes against Houthi forces in Yemen.

Crude oil closes below $80 on November 2, 2026 and Democrats win control of the US Senate.

Infinix launches the GT 50 Pro in India on October 27, 2026.

Aleksandar Vucic becomes the next Prime Minister of Serbia.

SpaceX conducts its 35th ISS commercial resupply launch before November 1, 2026.

Apple officially announces the iPhone 18 series before October 31, 2026.

Russia and Ukraine reach a mutual ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026.

The European Central Bank increases key interest rates at its next scheduled policy meeting.

The Federal Reserve leaves the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting.

The Federal Reserve raises the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting.

The Bank of England raises its benchmark interest rate at its November 2026 policy meeting.

Houthi forces launch a new claimed attack against Saudi infrastructure.

Iran formally accepts the US response regarding the plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

President Trump announces direct US military action against the Houthis in Yemen.

The Saudi-led coalition conducts retaliatory military strikes against Houthi targets following the Riyadh airport attack.

Nintendo releases a new Switch Sports installment for Switch 2 on October 22, 2026.

A coastal wave energy pulse raises sea levels by half a foot along Southern California.

The first Science and Space Symposium takes place in Lisbon on October 21–22, 2026.

The National Academies Space Studies Board holds its Human Exploration Across the Moon webinar on October 21, 2026.

The European Central Bank raises key interest rates at its next monetary policy meeting following September 2026.

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at the October 28, 2026 FOMC meeting.

The ceasefire between the United States and Iran holds through November 3, 2026.

The Democratic Party wins the Michigan U.S. Senate election in 2026.

Israel holds its general election on October 27, 2026.

South Korea recalls its ambassador to Ukraine over the disclosure of North Korean prisoners of war.

The United States conducts military strikes against Iran before the November 2026 midterm elections.

Nintendo Switch Sports Resort releases on October 22, 2026.

Every forecast,
in order.