THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

97 questions in Policy & Law. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
3M 14 Dec 2026

The UK government delays its decision on a North Sea gasfield until after the Holborn and St Pancras byelection.

▢ Policy & Law spread 52
56%
AI
6M 3 Jan 2027

Mitch McConnell steps down from his U.S. Senate seat before his term ends.

▢ Policy & Law spread 8 vs market -2
9%
AI vs 11%
6M 13 Mar 2027

The United Kingdom enacts an import ban on goods produced in Israeli West Bank settlements.

▢ Policy & Law spread 40
60%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at their meeting on September 24, 2026.✓ happened

▢ Policy & Law spread 25
40%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Nevada Gaming Commission approves proposed regulation amendments at its September 17, 2026 hearing.✓ happened

▢ Policy & Law spread 22
75%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China agree to extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24 summit in Washington, DC.✗ didn't

▢ Policy & Law spread 38
30%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China agree to extend their trade truce at the September 24 Washington summit.✓ happened

▢ Policy & Law spread 15
65%
AI
6M 13 Mar 2027

France, the UK, or Canada formally implements an import ban on goods from Israeli West Bank settlements.

▢ Policy & Law spread 23
25%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The US and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24, 2026 bilateral summit.✓ happened

▢ Policy & Law spread 16
62%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

The UK North Sea gasfield approval decision is announced after the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.

▢ Policy & Law spread 61
73%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

The U.K., France, and Canada formally implement new trade restrictions on Israel.

▢ Policy & Law spread 44
23%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China extend their bilateral trade truce during the September 24, 2026 summit.

▢ Policy & Law spread 34
57%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and Canada allow U.S. import bans on select Canadian goods to take effect by September 30, 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 32
68%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

The United Kingdom, France, and Canada implement new trade restrictions on Israel over West Bank settlement expansion.

▢ Policy & Law spread 15
22%
AI
3M 3 Nov 2026

The Democratic Party wins majorities in both the US Senate and House of Representatives in the 2026 midterms.

▢ Policy & Law spread 24 vs market -44
22%
AI vs 66%
3M 3 Nov 2026

The Democratic Party wins control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.

▢ Policy & Law spread 21 vs market -36
31%
AI vs 67%
3Y 7 Nov 2028

A Democratic candidate wins the 2028 US presidential election.

▢ Policy & Law spread 9 vs market -12
53%
AI vs 65%