THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
93 questions. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
10Y
26 Oct 2036
California mandates that 100% of new passenger cars sold in the state be zero-emission vehicles starting by 2035.
53%
AI
10Y
26 Oct 2036
Electric vehicles account for more than 50% of global new passenger car sales in a calendar year before 2035.
62%
AI
10Y
26 Oct 2036
An autonomous surgical robot performs a complete invasive human operation without human intervention before 2032.
11%
AI
10Y
25 Oct 2036
Autonomous robotics cause a net decline in total global employment before 2035.
8%
AI
10Y
25 Oct 2036
A clinical trial begins testing a vascularized, 3D-bioprinted human organ in patients before 2032.
22%
AI
10Y
25 Oct 2036
A fully lab-grown solid human organ is successfully transplanted into a patient before 2035.
18%
AI
10Y
24 Oct 2036
A fault-tolerant quantum computer demonstrates commercial quantum advantage before 2032.
17%
AI
10Y
24 Oct 2036
Scientists confirm the discovery of extraterrestrial microbial or biological life before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
23 Oct 2036
Ethereum reaches a price of $100,000 before January 1, 2035.
8%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
At least two new commercial nuclear fission reactors begin commercial operation in the United States before 2032.
21%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
A commercial cruise ship powered by a nuclear reactor enters service before 2036.
4%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
Global nuclear power generation capacity increases by at least 20 percent by 2035 compared to 2025 levels.
38%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
A major automaker unveils a nuclear-powered passenger car concept before 2036.
6%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
An FDA-approved treatment that halts or reverses cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease becomes available before 2036.
14%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
A broad-spectrum curative therapy for metastatic solid tumors is approved before 2035.
5%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
An mRNA-based therapeutic cancer vaccine receives full FDA approval for curative intent before 2032.
35%
AI
10Y
16 Oct 2036
Bitcoin reaches $1,000,000 per coin before January 1, 2035.
18%
AI
10Y
16 Oct 2036
A commercial nuclear fusion power plant supplies electricity to a public grid before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
16 Oct 2036
The FDA approves a disease-reversing curative treatment for Alzheimer's disease before 2036.
13%
AI
10Y
16 Oct 2036
An effective universal cure or broadly curative therapy for most major cancers is approved by the FDA before 2036.
3%
AI
10Y
16 Oct 2036
A crewed mission successfully lands on Mars before 2035.
6%
AI
10Y
15 Oct 2036
Global mean sea level rises by more than 10 centimeters above 2020 baselines by 2035.
8%
AI
10Y
14 Oct 2036
A therapeutic treatment scientifically proven to reverse cellular aging in humans receives regulatory approval before 2035.
12%
AI
10Y
14 Oct 2036
An artificial intelligence system takes autonomous operational control of critical civilian infrastructure or governance before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
11 Oct 2036
AI systems automate the majority of existing human occupations before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
10 Oct 2036
The European Union or the United States enacts a nationwide ban on sales of new internal combustion engine passenger cars taking effect by 2035.
70%
AI
10Y
10 Oct 2036
Commercial desktop quantum computers become available for direct consumer purchase before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
10 Oct 2036
A quantum computer successfully breaks Bitcoin's SHA-256 or ECDSA cryptography before 2035.
7%
AI
10Y
10 Oct 2036
Quantum computers demonstrate mainstream commercial advantage over classical computers before 2032.
20%
AI
10Y
10 Oct 2036
Scientists confirm evidence of extraterrestrial microbial life before 2035.
6%
AI
10Y
9 Oct 2036
Official confirmation of extraterrestrial biological or technological presence on Earth occurs before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
9 Oct 2036
Humanity confirms the detection of intelligent extraterrestrial life before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
8 Oct 2036
Bitcoin maintains an active blockchain with regular blocks and market trading through 2036.
91%
AI
10Y
8 Oct 2036
Bitcoin reaches a price of $1,000,000 before 2035.
14%
AI
10Y
8 Oct 2036
A commercial nuclear power plant begins commercial operation in the Philippines before 2035.
15%
AI
10Y
8 Oct 2036
A functional nuclear fission reactor is deployed on the Moon before 2032.
10%
AI
10Y
8 Oct 2036
The FDA approves a curative therapy that halts and reverses cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease before 2035.
9%
AI
10Y
8 Oct 2036
Mars reaches its next close perihelic opposition to Earth before January 2036.
98%
AI
10Y
7 Oct 2036
Humans land on the surface of Mars before 2035.
8%
AI
10Y
7 Oct 2036
Crewed spaceflight reaches the surface of Mars before 2035.
7%
AI