THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

179 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1Y 21 Sept 2027

The online multiplayer mode for Grand Theft Auto VI launches before April 1, 2027.

◇ Gaming spread 30
79%
AI
1Y 1 Jul 2027

BYD is fully removed from the Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 12 vs market -4
12%
AI vs 16%
1Y 21 Sept 2027

OpenAI or Microsoft reaches a formal settlement in the September 2026 news publishers copyright lawsuit by September 20, 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 34
32%
AI
1Y 20 Sept 2027

Thailand allocates the full 10 GW of capacity under its expanded public solar power scheme.

⚡ Energy spread 51
22%
AI
1Y 20 Sept 2027

The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of the Illinois Protect Illinois Communities Act (PICA) before July 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 51
36%
AI
1Y 20 Sept 2027

The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of a state assault weapons ban before July 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 41
38%
AI
1Y 20 Sept 2027

The US Supreme Court issues a major ruling on mail-in ballot regulations before the end of the October 2026 term.

▢ Policy & Law spread 23
34%
AI
1Y 19 Sept 2027

Grand Theft Auto VI includes in-game playable cryptocurrency or crypto trading mechanics upon release.

◇ Gaming spread 56
16%
AI
1Y 19 Sept 2027

California formally proposes regulations regarding an AI kill switch pursuant to Governor Newsom's executive order before mid-2027.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 39
28%
AI
1Y 1 Jul 2027

Anthropic completes an initial public offering by October 31, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 2 vs market +4
4%
AI vs 0%
1Y 18 Sept 2027

The United States enacts a mandate requiring automakers to include free AM radio in new vehicles.

▶ Transportation spread 61
46%
AI
1Y 18 Sept 2027

007 First Light Switch 2 Edition launches by March 31, 2027.

◇ Gaming spread 34
60%
AI
1Y 18 Sept 2027

The European Union formally adopts the plan granting additional free CO2 permits to industrial sectors.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 40
62%
AI
1Y 18 Sept 2027

The Michigan coal plant remains closed following the federal court ruling invalidating the federal order to keep it open.

⚡ Energy spread 26
80%
AI
1Y 18 Sept 2027

Bitcoin trades at or above $100,000 before July 1, 2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 71
84%
AI
1Y 17 Sept 2027

No trilateral Ukraine peace summit takes place prior to Russia's next elections.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 19
85%
AI
1Y 17 Sept 2027

A New York federal court rules the CFTC holds exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets.

▢ Policy & Law spread 16
29%
AI
1Y 17 Sept 2027

The Canadian government reduces or repeals its 50% counter-tariff on video game consoles.

▢ Policy & Law spread 49
38%
AI
1Y 17 Sept 2027

Microsoft expands its Xbox disc-to-digital program beyond Xbox Insiders to the general public.

◇ Gaming spread 27
75%
AI
1Y 17 Sept 2027

Sony formally announces a revival of the Killzone franchise.

◇ Gaming spread 32
35%
AI
1Y 16 Sept 2027

The US EPA finalizes the repeal of carbon standards for gas and coal power plants.

⚡ Energy spread 16
76%
AI
1Y 16 Sept 2027

The EU's carbon border levy emergency brake clause is retained following negotiations with member states.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 40
38%
AI
1Y 16 Sept 2027

A court issues a final merits judgment in the constitutional challenge to California's AB 2013.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 35
53%
AI
1Y 16 Sept 2027

The S&P 500 reaches a new all-time high before July 2027.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 26
78%
AI
1Y 16 Sept 2027

California's Government Operations Agency establishes an operational AI Auditor Registry pursuant to AB 1405.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 61
48%
AI
1Y 16 Sept 2027

The United States establishes mandatory federal AI safety requirements.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 22
28%
AI
1Y 16 Sept 2027

The European Commission takes formal enforcement action against at least one AI company following its information requests.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 43
50%
AI
1Y 1 Jul 2027

The Orbital Launch Tower chopsticks successfully catch the Starship upper stage during Flight Test 14.

✦ Space spread 54 vs market +25
25%
AI vs 0%
1Y 15 Sept 2027

Ubisoft releases Far Cry 3 Classic Edition on Nintendo Switch 2 by June 21, 2027.

◇ Gaming spread 44
63%
AI
1Y 15 Sept 2027

Microsoft formally confirms that Xbox will publish Hideo Kojima's Physint.

◇ Gaming spread 50
47%
AI
1Y 15 Sept 2027

PlayStation or Kojima Productions officially confirms the cancellation of Physint.

◇ Gaming spread 6
17%
AI
1Y 15 Sept 2027

An appellate court reverses or stays the federal ruling striking down New York's Climate Change Superfund Act.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 50
38%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

The U.S. District Court for the Central District of California issues a merits decision in the litigation over California AB 2013.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 53
42%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

Bungie finalizes a sublease for roughly 211,000 square feet of its Bellevue headquarters.

◇ Gaming spread 37
42%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

Final Fantasy 7 Revelation launches on or before April 8, 2027.

◇ Gaming spread 50
65%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

NVIDIA completes its acquisition of Hugging Face.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 52
45%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

AbbVie submits a regulatory filing for etentamig based on the Phase 3 CERVINO study.

✚ Health & Medicine spread 58
74%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

Hualan Biological Vaccine initiates clinical trials for its novel influenza mRNA vaccine.

❖ Biotech spread 19
84%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

DeepSeek formally files for an initial public offering in China.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 35
40%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

The European Commission opens formal proceedings under the AI Act against at least one AI company.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 40
63%
AI