THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
13 questions in Geopolitics. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
6M
19 Apr 2027
David Lisnard wins the next French presidential election.
2%
AI vs 15%
6M
5 Apr 2027
The existing ceasefire in the Gaza conflict collapses.
63%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
The United States and Iran reach a final written nuclear deal by December 31, 2026.
25%
AI vs 13%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Russian forces enter or capture any territory in Sloviansk by December 31, 2026.
11%
AI vs 7%
6M
31 Dec 2026
Delcy Rodríguez is the officially recognized leader of Venezuela on December 31, 2026.
6%
AI vs 17%
6M
31 Dec 2026
Nicolás Maduro is the officially recognized head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026.
80%
AI vs 78%
6M
1 Jan 2027
The US announces the end or suspension of its naval blockade of Iran by December 31, 2026.
21%
AI vs 34%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Russian forces enter or capture any territory in Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026.
12%
AI vs 11%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Xi Jinping is removed from power as CCP General Secretary before 2027.
3%
AI vs 4%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attends a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026.
4%
AI vs 30%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Friedrich Merz ceases to be Chancellor of Germany before 2027.
9%
AI vs 6%
6M
1 Jan 2027
The Islamic Republic of Iran's ruling regime falls before 2027.
6%
AI vs 7%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia by December 31, 2026.
5%
AI vs 2%