THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

212 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

1M 8 Nov 2026

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 officially launches across PC, PS5, Xbox Series, and Switch 2 on October 23, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 85

72%

1M 8 Nov 2026

The CDP closes its 2026 environmental disclosure reporting cycle on October 28, 2026.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 18

89%

1M 8 Nov 2026

The 2026 UN Biodiversity Conference (COP17) convenes in Yerevan on October 19, 2026.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 7

93%

1M 26 Oct 2026

Team Vitality wins ESL Pro League Season 24.

◇ Gaming spread 10 vs market -82

18%

AI vs 100%

1M 7 Nov 2026

TRISH presents findings on Mars mission health concerns on October 22, 2026.

✚ Health & Medicine spread 27

90%

1M 4 Nov 2026

Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections.

▢ Policy & Law spread 53 vs market +21

48%

AI vs 27%

1M 7 Nov 2026

The BEA's initial estimate of U.S. annualized real GDP growth for Q3 2026 is at least 2.2%.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 27

56%

1M 7 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank signals further policy tightening at its October 2026 policy decision.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 45

35%

1M 7 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged at its October 27-28, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 52

73%

1M 6 Nov 2026

Israel holds its planned national elections before the end of October 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 17

91%

1M 25 Oct 2026

The Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia electoral list wins the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 16 vs market +83

83%

AI vs 0%

1M 6 Nov 2026

The US Supreme Court issues a decision on state mail-in ballot deadlines before November 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 54

25%

1M 6 Nov 2026

The ISSB publishes its nature exposure draft by 31 October 2026.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 55

62%

1M 6 Nov 2026

The European Commission presents its climate resilience and risk management framework before the end of October 2026.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 45

63%

1M 5 Nov 2026

The U.S. Employment Cost Index rises in the report released on October 30, 2026.

⌂ Work & Labor spread 16

97%

1M 5 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank increases interest rates at its October 2026 policy meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 49

25%

1M 5 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at the October 27-28, 2026 FOMC meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 26

18%

1M 1 Nov 2026

The 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait drops to 10 or fewer by October 31, 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 14 vs market +6

AI vs 1%

1M 4 Nov 2026

A Democrat wins the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.

▢ Policy & Law spread 21 vs market -25

45%

AI vs 70%

1M 4 Nov 2026

BET99 launches regulated sports betting and iGaming in Alberta on October 13, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 60

30%

1M 3 Nov 2026

NASA's Swift Observatory reenters Earth's atmosphere within weeks of October 2026.

✦ Space spread 60

71%

1M 2 Nov 2026

The next Euro-area composite PMI release remains at or above 53.1.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 20

38%

1M 2 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at its October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 44

29%

1M 16 Oct 2026

The United States officially announces the end or suspension of its naval blockade of Iran by October 15, 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 14 vs market +10

10%

AI vs 0%

1M 1 Nov 2026

Apple launches or officially announces the "HomePad" device on October 13, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 55

48%

1M 1 Nov 2026

Apple announces a smart home camera that does not record video by October 13, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 25

15%

1M 1 Nov 2026

Israel officially blames Iran or its proxies for the September 2026 FlyDubai stabbing incident by October 31, 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 13 vs market +7

AI vs 1%

1M 31 Oct 2026

The FDA issues a decision on the drug candidate with a target date of October 9, 2026.

✚ Health & Medicine spread 14

87%

1M 31 Oct 2026

An Anthropic model holds the top rank on the arena.ai Text Arena Overall leaderboard on October 31, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 35 vs market +18

27%

AI vs 9%

1M 30 Oct 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at its October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 29

20%

1M 30 Oct 2026

Ethiopian pro-government forces maintain control of the newly captured strategic town in Tigray.

▽ Security & Defense spread 27

71%

1M 30 Oct 2026

Russia conducts a military strike beyond Ukraine's borders against a European nation.

▽ Security & Defense spread 5

1M 28 Oct 2026

The United States provides an official formal response to Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz proposal.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 53

25%

1M 27 Oct 2026

The Governor of California signs the clean energy and climate bills passed at the end of the 2026 legislative session.

▢ Policy & Law spread 16

86%

1M 26 Oct 2026

Euro-area headline annual inflation rises in the next official Eurostat flash estimate.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 29

42%

1M 26 Oct 2026

The Rosneft-owned Syzran and Saratov oil refineries restart processing operations within one month.

⚡ Energy spread 50

57%

Every forecast,in order.

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 officially launches across PC, PS5, Xbox Series, and Switch 2 on October 23, 2026.

The CDP closes its 2026 environmental disclosure reporting cycle on October 28, 2026.

The 2026 UN Biodiversity Conference (COP17) convenes in Yerevan on October 19, 2026.

Team Vitality wins ESL Pro League Season 24.

TRISH presents findings on Mars mission health concerns on October 22, 2026.

Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections.

The BEA's initial estimate of U.S. annualized real GDP growth for Q3 2026 is at least 2.2%.

The European Central Bank signals further policy tightening at its October 2026 policy decision.

The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged at its October 27-28, 2026 meeting.

Israel holds its planned national elections before the end of October 2026.

The Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia electoral list wins the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election.

Gamescom Asia x Thailand Game Show opens in Bangkok on October 29, 2026.

Final Fantasy Resonance launches on October 22, 2026.

Castlevania: Belmont’s Curse launches on October 15, 2026.

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 is released on October 23, 2026.

The US Supreme Court issues a decision on state mail-in ballot deadlines before November 2026.

The ISSB publishes its nature exposure draft by 31 October 2026.

The European Commission presents its climate resilience and risk management framework before the end of October 2026.

The U.S. Employment Cost Index rises in the report released on October 30, 2026.

The European Central Bank increases interest rates at its October 2026 policy meeting.

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at the October 27-28, 2026 FOMC meeting.

The 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait drops to 10 or fewer by October 31, 2026.

A Democrat wins the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.

BET99 launches regulated sports betting and iGaming in Alberta on October 13, 2026.

NASA's Swift Observatory reenters Earth's atmosphere within weeks of October 2026.

The next Euro-area composite PMI release remains at or above 53.1.

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at its October 2026 meeting.

The United States officially announces the end or suspension of its naval blockade of Iran by October 15, 2026.

Apple launches or officially announces the "HomePad" device on October 13, 2026.

Apple announces a smart home camera that does not record video by October 13, 2026.

Israel officially blames Iran or its proxies for the September 2026 FlyDubai stabbing incident by October 31, 2026.

The FDA issues a decision on the drug candidate with a target date of October 9, 2026.

An Anthropic model holds the top rank on the arena.ai Text Arena Overall leaderboard on October 31, 2026.

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at its October 2026 meeting.

Ethiopian pro-government forces maintain control of the newly captured strategic town in Tigray.

Russia conducts a military strike beyond Ukraine's borders against a European nation.

The United States provides an official formal response to Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz proposal.

The Governor of California signs the clean energy and climate bills passed at the end of the 2026 legislative session.

Euro-area headline annual inflation rises in the next official Eurostat flash estimate.

The Rosneft-owned Syzran and Saratov oil refineries restart processing operations within one month.

Every forecast,
in order.