THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

179 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1Y 14 Oct 2027

Australia announces permanent parliamentary oversight or new statutory safeguards for AI.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 42
48%
AI
1Y 14 Oct 2027

The UK enacts dedicated legislation granting statutory powers to the AI Security Institute.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 52
23%
AI
1Y 14 Oct 2027

The US Supreme Court issues a decision on the legality of presidential tariff authority before July 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 50
70%
AI
1Y 14 Oct 2027

The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of birthright citizenship before the end of June 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 54
45%
AI
1Y 14 Oct 2027

The US Supreme Court issues a ruling in a major ballroom or historic dance hall licensing dispute before the end of its 2026-2027 term.

▢ Policy & Law spread 2
3%
AI
1Y 13 Oct 2027

Grand Theft Auto VI supports PC cloud streaming at its official launch.

◇ Gaming spread 25
20%
AI
1Y 13 Oct 2027

The UK government approves the development of new oil and gas fields in Scotland.

⚡ Energy spread 64
30%
AI
1Y 13 Oct 2027

The U.S. Supreme Court rules in favor of oil industry defendants in pending climate-damage liability litigation.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 38
63%
AI
1Y 13 Oct 2027

The EPA issues a final rule rescinding the Super Emitter Program for oil and gas operations.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 20
74%
AI
1Y 1 Jul 2027

Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 14 vs market -22
38%
AI vs 60%
1Y 12 Oct 2027

A federal court strikes down provisions of California's newly enacted AI legislation.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 50
41%
AI
1Y 12 Oct 2027

The Australian Parliament passes legislation regulating major AI companies following parliamentary committee inquiries.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 51
47%
AI
1Y 12 Oct 2027

The FTC issues a formal complaint or enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic stemming from its safety and antitrust inquiries.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 27
23%
AI
1Y 12 Oct 2027

A federal court issues an injunction or ruling against the presidential executive order blocking state AI regulations.

▢ Policy & Law spread 52
67%
AI
1Y 20 Jun 2027

Liverpool wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League.

♪ Culture & Media spread 6 vs market +5
10%
AI vs 5%
1Y 11 Oct 2027

Governor Kathy Hochul advances state policy to end fossil gas mandates and expand heat pumps.

⚡ Energy spread 62
42%
AI
1Y 11 Oct 2027

US Wind revives plans to manufacture offshore wind turbine components in Baltimore County.

⚡ Energy spread 29
18%
AI
1Y 11 Oct 2027

A federal court restores limits on emissions from power plants previously eliminated by the Trump EPA.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 67
35%
AI
1Y 11 Oct 2027

A court strikes down the Trump administration's relaxed vehicle fuel-economy rules.

▢ Policy & Law spread 60
40%
AI
1Y 11 Oct 2027

The U.S. Supreme Court allows local governments' climate lawsuits against oil and gas companies to proceed.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 40
60%
AI
1Y 10 Oct 2027

The NBER declares that a US recession began during 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 27
20%
AI
1Y 10 Oct 2027

Grand Theft Auto VI includes an in-game functional stock market at launch.

◇ Gaming spread 64
60%
AI
1Y 10 Oct 2027

The S&P 500 drops by at least 20% from its recent peak before July 2027.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 25
23%
AI
1Y 8 Oct 2027

California's SB 947 (No Robo Bosses Act) is enjoined or invalidated by a court prior to July 1, 2027.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 30
27%
AI
1Y 8 Oct 2027

The U.S. Senate passes or advances the AI Agent Accountability Act out of committee.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 26
17%
AI
1Y 7 Oct 2027

The United States and Iran reach a formal negotiated settlement.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 12
12%
AI
1Y 6 Oct 2027

The FTC initiates an enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic arising from its September 2026 safety scrutiny.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 28
22%
AI
1Y 5 Oct 2027

Ethiopia and Eritrea restore formal diplomatic relations by October 5, 2027.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 26
18%
AI
1Y 5 Oct 2027

Iraq completes its roadmap to bring all weapons outside state control under government authority by June 30, 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 12
12%
AI
1Y 5 Oct 2027

Apple officially announces an iPhone 17e model by December 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 84
39%
AI
1Y 4 Oct 2027

A court vacates the federal cancellation of contested offshore wind development leases.

⚡ Energy spread 49
36%
AI
1Y 4 Oct 2027

Federal funding for the Solar for All program is reinstated following court order.

⚡ Energy spread 44
60%
AI
1Y 4 Oct 2027

Texas lifts its moratorium on permitting new data center projects.

⚡ Energy spread 16
72%
AI
1Y 4 Oct 2027

California enacts legislation requiring data centers to pay specific grid-impact costs.

⚡ Energy spread 36
52%
AI
1Y 4 Oct 2027

A federal court upholds the EPA's repeal of greenhouse-gas emissions rules for power plants.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 31
48%
AI
1Y 3 Oct 2027

The FTC announces a formal enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic arising from its October 2026 safety probe.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 20
25%
AI
1Y 3 Oct 2027

Euro-area headline inflation remains above the ECB's target through the first half of 2027.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 49
50%
AI
1Y 3 Oct 2027

The S&P 500 closes higher over the next 12 months than its current level.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 12
72%
AI
1Y 3 Oct 2027

The S&P 500 reaches a new all-time high before July 1, 2027.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 19
82%
AI
1Y 1 Jul 2027

Oklahoma enacts a statewide moratorium on new data centers by June 30, 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 4 vs market -13
4%
AI vs 17%