THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
179 questions. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1Y
14 Oct 2027
Australia announces permanent parliamentary oversight or new statutory safeguards for AI.
48%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The UK enacts dedicated legislation granting statutory powers to the AI Security Institute.
23%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The US Supreme Court issues a decision on the legality of presidential tariff authority before July 2027.
70%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of birthright citizenship before the end of June 2027.
45%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The US Supreme Court issues a ruling in a major ballroom or historic dance hall licensing dispute before the end of its 2026-2027 term.
3%
AI
1Y
13 Oct 2027
Grand Theft Auto VI supports PC cloud streaming at its official launch.
20%
AI
1Y
13 Oct 2027
The UK government approves the development of new oil and gas fields in Scotland.
30%
AI
1Y
13 Oct 2027
The U.S. Supreme Court rules in favor of oil industry defendants in pending climate-damage liability litigation.
63%
AI
1Y
13 Oct 2027
The EPA issues a final rule rescinding the Super Emitter Program for oil and gas operations.
74%
AI
1Y
1 Jul 2027
Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027.
38%
AI vs 60%
1Y
12 Oct 2027
A federal court strikes down provisions of California's newly enacted AI legislation.
41%
AI
1Y
12 Oct 2027
The Australian Parliament passes legislation regulating major AI companies following parliamentary committee inquiries.
47%
AI
1Y
12 Oct 2027
The FTC issues a formal complaint or enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic stemming from its safety and antitrust inquiries.
23%
AI
1Y
12 Oct 2027
A federal court issues an injunction or ruling against the presidential executive order blocking state AI regulations.
67%
AI
1Y
20 Jun 2027
Liverpool wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League.
10%
AI vs 5%
1Y
11 Oct 2027
Governor Kathy Hochul advances state policy to end fossil gas mandates and expand heat pumps.
42%
AI
1Y
11 Oct 2027
US Wind revives plans to manufacture offshore wind turbine components in Baltimore County.
18%
AI
1Y
11 Oct 2027
A federal court restores limits on emissions from power plants previously eliminated by the Trump EPA.
35%
AI
1Y
11 Oct 2027
A court strikes down the Trump administration's relaxed vehicle fuel-economy rules.
40%
AI
1Y
11 Oct 2027
The U.S. Supreme Court allows local governments' climate lawsuits against oil and gas companies to proceed.
60%
AI
1Y
10 Oct 2027
The NBER declares that a US recession began during 2026.
20%
AI
1Y
10 Oct 2027
Grand Theft Auto VI includes an in-game functional stock market at launch.
60%
AI
1Y
10 Oct 2027
The S&P 500 drops by at least 20% from its recent peak before July 2027.
23%
AI
1Y
8 Oct 2027
California's SB 947 (No Robo Bosses Act) is enjoined or invalidated by a court prior to July 1, 2027.
27%
AI
1Y
8 Oct 2027
The U.S. Senate passes or advances the AI Agent Accountability Act out of committee.
17%
AI
1Y
7 Oct 2027
The United States and Iran reach a formal negotiated settlement.
12%
AI
1Y
6 Oct 2027
The FTC initiates an enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic arising from its September 2026 safety scrutiny.
22%
AI
1Y
5 Oct 2027
Ethiopia and Eritrea restore formal diplomatic relations by October 5, 2027.
18%
AI
1Y
5 Oct 2027
Iraq completes its roadmap to bring all weapons outside state control under government authority by June 30, 2027.
12%
AI
1Y
5 Oct 2027
Apple officially announces an iPhone 17e model by December 2026.
39%
AI
1Y
4 Oct 2027
A court vacates the federal cancellation of contested offshore wind development leases.
36%
AI
1Y
4 Oct 2027
Federal funding for the Solar for All program is reinstated following court order.
60%
AI
1Y
4 Oct 2027
Texas lifts its moratorium on permitting new data center projects.
72%
AI
1Y
4 Oct 2027
California enacts legislation requiring data centers to pay specific grid-impact costs.
52%
AI
1Y
4 Oct 2027
A federal court upholds the EPA's repeal of greenhouse-gas emissions rules for power plants.
48%
AI
1Y
3 Oct 2027
The FTC announces a formal enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic arising from its October 2026 safety probe.
25%
AI
1Y
3 Oct 2027
Euro-area headline inflation remains above the ECB's target through the first half of 2027.
50%
AI
1Y
3 Oct 2027
The S&P 500 closes higher over the next 12 months than its current level.
72%
AI
1Y
3 Oct 2027
The S&P 500 reaches a new all-time high before July 1, 2027.
82%
AI
1Y
1 Jul 2027
Oklahoma enacts a statewide moratorium on new data centers by June 30, 2027.
4%
AI vs 17%