THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

141 questions in Artificial Intelligence. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1Y 14 Sept 2027

A federal court strikes down California AB 2013 on constitutional grounds.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 30
22%
AI
6M 13 Mar 2027

The European AI Office meets its planned enforcement milestone by 31 December 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 35
50%
AI
3Y 13 Sept 2029

The EU AI Act standalone Annex III high-risk compliance deadline takes effect on 2 December 2027 without further delay.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 31
67%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

The European Commission opens at least one formal investigation under the EU AI Act against a recipient of its preliminary information requests.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 52
51%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Brazilian Senate approves AI regulation Bill 2338/2023 on 16 September 2026.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 57
56%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China hold bilateral AI safety talks in September 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 21
78%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

California Governor Gavin Newsom signs SB 813 into law by 30 September 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 44
62%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

The European Commission opens a formal AI Act compliance investigation against at least one AI company.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 50
65%
AI
3Y 13 Sept 2029

The European Union further modifies AI Act compliance deadlines or carve-outs before 2 December 2027.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 30
40%
AI
6M 13 Mar 2027

NIST publishes an updated revision of AI 300-1 draft guidance following the close of public comments.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 56
57%
AI
6M 13 Mar 2027

The federal government deploys AI-enabled digital tools under the September 8, 2026 executive order by March 7, 2027.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 60
65%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

The EU AI Act watermarking and metadata deadline for legacy generative AI systems takes effect on December 2, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 90
76%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Brazilian Senate approves Bill 2338/2023 in its plenary floor vote on September 16, 2026.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 65
32%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The Governor of California signs SB 1000 into law by September 30, 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 60
63%
AI
3Y 13 Sept 2029

The EU amends or issues official implementing guidance for Annex III high-risk AI obligations before December 2, 2027.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 30
78%
AI
6M 13 Mar 2027

NIST modifies its AI documentation guidance following the September 16, 2026 public comment deadline.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 23
76%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

California's governor signs SB 1000 into law by September 30, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 29
54%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

California's governor signs SB 813 into law by September 30, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 52
51%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

Brazil's Senate passes AI Bill 2338/2023 at its September 16, 2026 vote.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 47
50%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

California Governor Gavin Newsom signs SB 1047 into law by September 30, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 8
2%
AI
6M 1 Jan 2027

OpenAI completes an initial public offering by December 31, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 11 vs market 0
4%
AI vs 4%