THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

1233 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

1M 27 Nov 2026

A trilateral summit between Trump, Xi, and Putin is held in November 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 24

12%

3M 26 Jan 2027

The 60-day pause on sweeping U.S. sanctions against Russia expires without being extended.

▢ Policy & Law spread 35

38%

1M 27 Nov 2026

A localized humanitarian ceasefire takes effect in the Oleshky area of Kherson as announced.

▽ Security & Defense spread 66

40%

1M 27 Nov 2026

Officials from Russia and Ukraine hold an official meeting in November 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 41

36%

3M 26 Jan 2027

A new Israeli government is sworn in with a governing coalition majority following the election.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 44

57%

10Y 25 Oct 2036

A clinical trial begins testing a vascularized, 3D-bioprinted human organ in patients before 2032.

❖ Biotech spread 36

22%

10Y 25 Oct 2036

A fully lab-grown solid human organ is successfully transplanted into a patient before 2035.

❖ Biotech spread 54

18%

5Y 27 Oct 2031

Standard clinical turnaround for an ex vivo autologous gene editing therapy falls below 14 days before 2030.

❖ Biotech spread 54

22%

3Y 27 Oct 2029

An in vivo CRISPR gene editing therapy receives standard FDA approval before 2028.

❖ Biotech spread 55

20%

5Y 27 Oct 2031

Human germline gene editing results in a live birth before 2030.

❖ Biotech spread 93

18%

5Y 27 Oct 2031

A quantum computer solves an economically valuable problem faster than classical computers before 2030.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 48

20%

6M 19 Apr 2027

Sony announces a definitive end date for physical game releases on PlayStation platforms before the end of 2027.

◇ Gaming spread 14

10%

1M 26 Nov 2026

South Korea's culture ministry announces new funding or formal esports policy changes at G-STAR 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 36

62%

3M 25 Jan 2027

Capcom reports additional compromised accounts beyond the initial 11.7 million Capcom IDs.

▽ Security & Defense spread 29

20%

1M 26 Nov 2026

Microsoft releases the Xbox Nano controller for retail purchase in November 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 9

87%

3M 25 Jan 2027

EA officially announces Star Wars Battlefront 3 by the end of 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 56

33%

1W 3 Nov 2026

Apple unveils a touch-screen MacBook Pro at its October 28, 2026 event.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 57

42%

10Y 24 Oct 2036

A fault-tolerant quantum computer demonstrates commercial quantum advantage before 2032.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 54

17%

10Y 24 Oct 2036

Scientists confirm the discovery of extraterrestrial microbial or biological life before 2035.

✺ Science spread 18

10%

50Y 14 Oct 2076

Humanity makes verified contact with or detects an extraterrestrial civilization before 2050.

✺ Science spread 9

1M 4 Nov 2026

The Republican nominee wins the Maine U.S. Senate election in 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 67 vs market -14

25%

AI vs 39%

1M 4 Nov 2026

The Republican nominee wins the Texas gubernatorial election in 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 11 vs market +21

90%

AI vs 69%

3M 1 Jan 2027

No listed national leader ceases to permanently occupy their office before 2027.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 89 vs market +11

56%

AI vs 45%

1M 26 Nov 2026

The EU Council formally adopts the legislative act on the market stability reserve for buildings and road transport at its next decision point.

⚡ Energy spread 84

81%

3M 25 Jan 2027

EU environment ministers reach agreement by December 2026 on the pending market-related climate file.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 20

58%

1W 3 Nov 2026

The European Commission presents its climate resilience plan during the final week of October 2026.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 60

68%

3M 25 Jan 2027

EU leaders adopt a common position on energy-price measures before their next scheduled Council meeting.

⚡ Energy spread 52

31%

1W 3 Nov 2026

Negotiators reach a final biodiversity agreement at COP17 in Yerevan by 30 October 2026.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 55

51%

1Y 27 Oct 2027

Governments agree on the AR7 publication schedule at the next IPCC meeting.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 59

49%

6M 25 Apr 2027

The upcoming Academy Awards ceremony features live performances of all nominees for Best Original Song.

♪ Culture & Media spread 52

69%

6M 25 Apr 2027

ABC broadcasts an official television replay of the Academy Awards ceremony within 24 hours of its initial live airing.

♪ Culture & Media spread 8

6M 25 Apr 2027

The upcoming Academy Awards telecast features a live ballet performance.

♪ Culture & Media spread 15

12%

6M 25 Apr 2027

The Academy Awards ceremony takes place in March 2027.

♪ Culture & Media spread 32

85%

1Y 27 Oct 2027

Apple includes an iPhone 17 Pro Max in its iPhone 17 lineup announcement.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 94

83%

1Y 27 Oct 2027

Apple includes an iPhone 17 Plus in its iPhone 17 lineup announcement.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 10

5Y 25 Oct 2031

Ethereum drops out of the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization before January 1, 2030.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 16

15%

1Y 26 Oct 2027

Investigators publicly release the official cause of the Space Rider parafoil loss during its October 6 drop test.

✦ Space spread 29

62%

Every forecast,in order.

A trilateral summit between Trump, Xi, and Putin is held in November 2026.

The 60-day pause on sweeping U.S. sanctions against Russia expires without being extended.

A localized humanitarian ceasefire takes effect in the Oleshky area of Kherson as announced.

Officials from Russia and Ukraine hold an official meeting in November 2026.

A new Israeli government is sworn in with a governing coalition majority following the election.

A clinical trial begins testing a vascularized, 3D-bioprinted human organ in patients before 2032.

A fully lab-grown solid human organ is successfully transplanted into a patient before 2035.

Standard clinical turnaround for an ex vivo autologous gene editing therapy falls below 14 days before 2030.

An in vivo CRISPR gene editing therapy receives standard FDA approval before 2028.

Human germline gene editing results in a live birth before 2030.

A quantum computer solves an economically valuable problem faster than classical computers before 2030.

David Lisnard wins the next French presidential election.

A total internet blackout occurs in Iran by December 31, 2026.

Gen.G wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship.

Sony announces a definitive end date for physical game releases on PlayStation platforms before the end of 2027.

South Korea's culture ministry announces new funding or formal esports policy changes at G-STAR 2026.

Capcom reports additional compromised accounts beyond the initial 11.7 million Capcom IDs.

Microsoft releases the Xbox Nano controller for retail purchase in November 2026.

EA officially announces Star Wars Battlefront 3 by the end of 2026.

Apple unveils a touch-screen MacBook Pro at its October 28, 2026 event.

A fault-tolerant quantum computer demonstrates commercial quantum advantage before 2032.

Scientists confirm the discovery of extraterrestrial microbial or biological life before 2035.

Humanity makes verified contact with or detects an extraterrestrial civilization before 2050.

The Republican nominee wins the Maine U.S. Senate election in 2026.

The Republican nominee wins the Texas gubernatorial election in 2026.

No listed national leader ceases to permanently occupy their office before 2027.

The EU Council formally adopts the legislative act on the market stability reserve for buildings and road transport at its next decision point.

EU environment ministers reach agreement by December 2026 on the pending market-related climate file.

The European Commission presents its climate resilience plan during the final week of October 2026.

EU leaders adopt a common position on energy-price measures before their next scheduled Council meeting.

Negotiators reach a final biodiversity agreement at COP17 in Yerevan by 30 October 2026.

Governments agree on the AR7 publication schedule at the next IPCC meeting.

The upcoming Academy Awards ceremony features live performances of all nominees for Best Original Song.

ABC broadcasts an official television replay of the Academy Awards ceremony within 24 hours of its initial live airing.

The upcoming Academy Awards telecast features a live ballet performance.

The Academy Awards ceremony takes place in March 2027.

Apple includes an iPhone 17 Pro Max in its iPhone 17 lineup announcement.

Apple includes an iPhone 17 Plus in its iPhone 17 lineup announcement.

Ethereum drops out of the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization before January 1, 2030.

Investigators publicly release the official cause of the Space Rider parafoil loss during its October 6 drop test.

Every forecast,
in order.