THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
1233 questions. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1W
2 Nov 2026
NASA astronauts complete a scheduled spacewalk from the International Space Station the week of November 2, 2026.
67%
AI
3Y
25 Oct 2029
NASA's Psyche spacecraft arrives at asteroid Psyche by September 22, 2029.
85%
AI
1Y
26 Oct 2027
NASA's Roman Space Telescope successfully completes commissioning and initiates science operations.
84%
AI
3Y
25 Oct 2029
NASA lands a crewed mission on the lunar surface by the end of 2028.
25%
AI
3Y
25 Oct 2029
Ethereum reaches a price of $5,000 before January 1, 2028.
64%
AI
3Y
25 Oct 2029
Apple releases the iPhone 20 commercially before the end of 2028.
72%
AI
1Y
26 Oct 2027
The iPhone 18 is available for retail purchase in stores before October 1, 2026.
92%
AI
3Y
25 Oct 2029
Apple releases a dual-screen or foldable phone branded iPhone Duo by the end of 2027.
6%
AI
3Y
1 Jan 2028
Predict.fun fully diluted valuation exceeds $1 billion one day after token launch.
20%
AI vs 59%
3Y
8 Nov 2028
J.D. Vance wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination.
44%
AI vs 38%
1Y
26 Oct 2027
OpenAI trains a frontier AI model using live internet data after its October 2026 policy change.
16%
AI
6M
24 Apr 2027
OpenAI releases GPT-6.1 Astra following its delayed October 2026 deployment.
60%
AI
6M
24 Apr 2027
The White House Super Intelligence Force submits its AI risks and opportunities report within 120 days of its 4 October 2026 creation.
50%
AI
6M
24 Apr 2027
U.S. federal civilian agencies complete the removal of DeepSeek products from IT systems pursuant to the DHS order.
73%
AI
1Y
26 Oct 2027
Singapore financial institutions face mandatory compliance with monetary authority AI risk guidelines beginning 7 October 2027.
81%
AI
1W
2 Nov 2026
Poland's AI Act provisions scheduled for 28 October 2026 commence on that date.
86%
AI
10Y
23 Oct 2036
Ethereum reaches a price of $100,000 before January 1, 2035.
8%
AI
1Y
26 Oct 2027
Bitcoin experiences a single-day drop of at least 20% before November 1, 2027.
25%
AI
3Y
25 Oct 2029
Bitcoin reaches a price of $200,000 before January 1, 2028.
38%
AI
50Y
13 Oct 2076
The final Bitcoin is mined before the year 2141.
1%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
A proposition establishing a one-time wealth tax on billionaires passes in California's 2026 general election.
4%
AI vs 22%
10Y
22 Oct 2036
At least two new commercial nuclear fission reactors begin commercial operation in the United States before 2032.
21%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
A commercial cruise ship powered by a nuclear reactor enters service before 2036.
4%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
Global nuclear power generation capacity increases by at least 20 percent by 2035 compared to 2025 levels.
38%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
A major automaker unveils a nuclear-powered passenger car concept before 2036.
6%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
An FDA-approved treatment that halts or reverses cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease becomes available before 2036.
14%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raises its official cash rate at its 29 October 2026 meeting.
64%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The Bank of Canada raises its policy interest rate at its 29 October 2026 meeting.
71%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The Bank of Japan raises its inflation forecasts in its 30 October 2026 outlook report.
48%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The Bank of Japan leaves its policy rate unchanged at its 30 October 2026 meeting.
83%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The European Central Bank leaves interest rates unchanged at its 29 October 2026 meeting.
63%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The Federal Reserve leaves its policy rate unchanged at its 28 October 2026 meeting.
86%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
A broad-spectrum curative therapy for metastatic solid tumors is approved before 2035.
5%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
An mRNA-based therapeutic cancer vaccine receives full FDA approval for curative intent before 2032.
35%
AI
50Y
12 Oct 2076
A definitive cure for at least three of the top five deadliest cancers is approved before 2040.
6%
AI
50Y
12 Oct 2076
A universal cure or definitive therapeutic regimen eliminating all major human cancers is approved by a major regulatory agency before 2050.
4%
AI
3M
1 Jan 2027
France enters a declared state of emergency by December 31, 2026.
6%
AI vs 8%
1M
24 Nov 2026
Iran launches a direct military strike against Israel following border airspace maneuvers.
15%
AI
3M
23 Jan 2027
Houthi forces reopen humanitarian access routes into Taiz, Yemen.
18%
AI
1M
24 Nov 2026
Direct talks in Switzerland between the US and Iran produce an announced ceasefire or agreement.
20%
AI