THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
85 questions in Energy. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1Y
29 Sept 2027
A federal court upholds the federal government's authority to cancel offshore wind developments in exchange for alternative-energy compensation payments.
40%
AI
1Y
29 Sept 2027
Federal funding for the Solar for All program is reinstated following the court ruling against the EPA's rescission.
57%
AI
1Y
29 Sept 2027
Developers receive a revised permit or win an appeal to proceed with the Raritan Bay underwater methane pipeline expansion project.
22%
AI
1Y
29 Sept 2027
Michigan's Campbell coal plant resumes operations following the court ruling against the emergency order keeping it open.
10%
AI
1Y
27 Sept 2027
Developers obtain a replacement permit for the Raritan Bay underwater methane pipeline expansion.
22%
AI
1Y
27 Sept 2027
Michigan's Campbell coal plant permanently ceases operations following the federal appeals court ruling.
86%
AI
1M
26 Oct 2026
The Rosneft-owned Syzran and Saratov oil refineries restart processing operations within one month.
57%
AI
50Y
13 Sept 2076
A commercial nuclear fusion power plant operates at a net profit before 2040.
10%
AI
10Y
23 Sept 2036
A commercial nuclear fusion plant supplies electricity to a power grid before 2036.
13%
AI
1W
29 Sept 2026
Public submissions on Australia's Domestic Gas Reservation Bill close on 24 September 2026.✓ happened
90%
AI
1W
29 Sept 2026
Parties in the federal small-reactor licensing lawsuit reach a settlement by September 29, 2026.✗ didn't
36%
AI
3M
1 Nov 2026
Saudi Arabia announces the East-West oil pipeline has restarted operations by October 31, 2026.
72%
AI vs 100%
1Y
20 Sept 2027
Thailand allocates the full 10 GW of capacity under its expanded public solar power scheme.
22%
AI
1M
20 Oct 2026
The UK government formally grants regulatory approval for the Jackdaw gas project in the North Sea.
65%
AI
6M
19 Mar 2027
Asian LNG demand in full-year 2026 drops between 3% and 10% compared to 2025 levels.
22%
AI
1M
20 Oct 2026
Saudi Arabia reopens its east-west oil pipeline following the September 2026 drone strike shutdown.
80%
AI
1M
19 Oct 2026
Saudi Arabia reopens its shut export pipeline.
60%
AI
6M
17 Mar 2027
The UK government announces its decision on the North Sea gasfield after the Holborn and St Pancras byelection.
80%
AI
1Y
18 Sept 2027
The Michigan coal plant remains closed following the federal court ruling invalidating the federal order to keep it open.
80%
AI
10Y
14 Sept 2036
A commercial nuclear fusion plant supplies electricity to a public power grid before 2036.
12%
AI
1Y
16 Sept 2027
The US EPA finalizes the repeal of carbon standards for gas and coal power plants.
76%
AI
1M
16 Oct 2026
UK ministers approve the Jackdaw gas project by September 30, 2026.
68%
AI
3M
14 Dec 2026
The White House extends the Jones Act waiver beyond its mid-November 2026 deadline.
29%
AI
6M
14 Mar 2027
The IEA projects a persistent global oil supply shortfall through the end of 2026 in its subsequent market updates.
31%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The UK government formally approves the Jackdaw North Sea gas project in September 2026.✗ didn't
38%
AI
3M
13 Dec 2026
OPEC+ agrees to adjust crude oil production levels at its next scheduled meeting.
65%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
Saudi Arabia reopens the East-West pipeline following the drone attack from Iraq.✓ happened
78%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
External power is successfully restored to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant following the local ceasefire repairs.✗ didn't
67%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The UK government formally approves the Jackdaw gas project in September 2026.✗ didn't
59%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
The UK government formally adopts a tax on domestic wind farms following a commission recommendation.
18%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The UK approves the North Sea Jackdaw gas project in September 2026.✗ didn't
60%
AI
3M
13 Dec 2026
China's solar power capacity remains higher than coal capacity in the next official national energy statistics.
90%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The UK approves the Jackdaw North Sea gas project by September 30, 2026.✗ didn't
67%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
External power is fully restored to the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant following localized ceasefire repairs.
58%
AI
3Y
13 Sept 2029
The Duane Arnold nuclear plant restarts commercial operations following the DOE loan guarantee.
47%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
US crude oil production averages at least 13.8 million barrels per day across full-year 2026.
55%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The UK government approves the North Sea Jackdaw gas project in September 2026.
53%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
The European Union formally adopts a tax on oil and gas profits to fund climate adaptation.
11%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
A court reinstates the vacated New Jersey permit for Williams Cos' Northeast Supply Enhancement pipeline.
20%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
The European Parliament approves a requirement for member states to direct more carbon market revenues toward industrial decarbonisation.
42%
AI