THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
121 questions. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
6M
1 Jan 2027
Bitcoin trades at or below $70,000 by December 31, 2026.
34%
AI vs 33%
6M
30 Mar 2027
The National Cybersecurity Alliance schedules Data Privacy Week for late January 2027.
97%
AI
6M
28 Mar 2027
The EPA finalizes a rule abdicating its responsibility to regulate greenhouse gas emissions following the November 2, 2026 public comment deadline.
31%
AI
6M
28 Mar 2027
The U.S. Congress votes on advanced AI supply chain or sustainability bills following the November 2026 recess.
38%
AI
6M
28 Mar 2027
OpenAI and Anthropic provide new models to UK testers following completion of the U.S. government review.
72%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
The United States and Iran reach a final written nuclear deal by December 31, 2026.
25%
AI vs 13%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Bitcoin dips to $55,000 or lower by December 31, 2026.
33%
AI vs 10%
6M
24 Mar 2027
NASA launches the Crew-13 mission to the International Space Station following repairs to the SpaceX Dragon leak.
91%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
Ethereum reaches $3,500 by December 31, 2026.
55%
AI vs 11%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Bitcoin reaches $130,000 by December 31, 2026.
36%
AI vs 4%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Ethereum dips to $2,250 or lower by December 31, 2026.
30%
AI vs 82%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Russian forces enter or capture any territory in Sloviansk by December 31, 2026.
11%
AI vs 7%
6M
22 Mar 2027
Meta expands its personal AI agent Muse outside the United States by the end of 2026.
49%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
Russian forces enter the city of Dobropillia by December 31, 2026.
17%
AI vs 100%
6M
1 Jan 2027
NATO and Russian military forces clash directly by December 31, 2026.
7%
AI vs 14%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Ethereum dips to $2,000 or lower on Binance by December 31, 2026.
31%
AI vs 36%
6M
31 Dec 2026
Delcy Rodríguez is the officially recognized leader of Venezuela on December 31, 2026.
6%
AI vs 17%
6M
21 Mar 2027
Britain's MHRA publishes a regulatory roadmap for space-manufactured pharmaceuticals before the end of 2026.
62%
AI
6M
20 Mar 2027
Grand Theft Auto VI launches worldwide before December 31, 2026.
75%
AI
6M
20 Mar 2027
A major cyber incident causes over $1 billion in direct economic damages worldwide before the end of 2026.
30%
AI
6M
20 Mar 2027
A major cyber attack disables critical infrastructure in the United States before the end of 2026.
8%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
The World Health Organization explicitly characterizes a Hantavirus outbreak as a pandemic in 2026.
2%
AI vs 2%
6M
20 Mar 2027
Saudi Arabia and the Houthis announce a formal ceasefire agreement.
33%
AI
6M
20 Mar 2027
Meta expands its Muse AI agent outside the United States by December 31, 2026.
60%
AI
6M
20 Mar 2027
The White House reinstates the game 'Build the Wall' to Arcade.gov by December 31, 2026.
12%
AI
6M
19 Mar 2027
Asian LNG demand in full-year 2026 drops between 3% and 10% compared to 2025 levels.
22%
AI
6M
19 Mar 2027
The U.S. EPA finalizes its proposed repeal of power-plant greenhouse-gas regulations following the public comment period ending November 2, 2026.
48%
AI
6M
31 Dec 2026
Nicolás Maduro is the officially recognized head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026.
80%
AI vs 78%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Samuel Alito announces his retirement from the Supreme Court by December 31, 2026.
10%
AI vs 14%
6M
17 Mar 2027
The UK government announces its decision on the North Sea gasfield after the Holborn and St Pancras byelection.
80%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
The US announces the end or suspension of its naval blockade of Iran by December 31, 2026.
21%
AI vs 34%
6M
16 Mar 2027
The Nasdaq Composite drops at least 10% from its 2026 high before the end of 2026.
58%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
Russian forces enter or capture any territory in Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026.
12%
AI vs 11%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Donald Trump ceases to be President of the United States before 2027.
6%
AI vs 4%
6M
16 Mar 2027
The U.S. Senate passes legislation establishing federal regulations for college sports.
31%
AI
6M
16 Mar 2027
Microsoft removes or revises the 15-hour monthly cap on Xbox Game Pass cloud play.
47%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
Xi Jinping is removed from power as CCP General Secretary before 2027.
3%
AI vs 4%
6M
1 Jan 2027
The US government confirms the existence of extraterrestrial life or technology before 2027.
2%
AI vs 4%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Israel carries out strikes on soil in at least four distinct countries during 2026.
75%
AI vs 67%
6M
15 Mar 2027
El Niño conditions continue through February 2027.
90%
AI