THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

153 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

1W 3 Nov 2026

Total commitments to the 1W public token sale exceed $20M before November 3, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 59 vs market -70

25%

AI vs 95%

1W 4 Nov 2026

The Bank of Japan leaves its policy rate unchanged at its October 29–30, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 16

86%

1W 4 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank leaves interest rates unchanged at its October 29, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 16

84%

1W 4 Nov 2026

The Bank of Canada keeps interest rates unchanged on October 28, 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 15

68%

1W 4 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve leaves its policy rate unchanged at its October 28, 2026 decision.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 89

88%

1W 3 Nov 2026

Apple unveils a touch-screen MacBook Pro at its October 28, 2026 event.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 57

42%

1W 3 Nov 2026

The European Commission presents its climate resilience plan during the final week of October 2026.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 60

68%

1W 3 Nov 2026

Negotiators reach a final biodiversity agreement at COP17 in Yerevan by 30 October 2026.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 55

51%

1W 2 Nov 2026

NASA astronauts complete a scheduled spacewalk from the International Space Station the week of November 2, 2026.

✦ Space spread 17

67%

1W 2 Nov 2026

Poland's AI Act provisions scheduled for 28 October 2026 commence on that date.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 21

86%

1W 1 Nov 2026

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raises its official cash rate at its 29 October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 70

64%

1W 1 Nov 2026

The Bank of Canada raises its policy interest rate at its 29 October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 81

71%

1W 1 Nov 2026

The Bank of Japan raises its inflation forecasts in its 30 October 2026 outlook report.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 31

48%

1W 1 Nov 2026

The Bank of Japan leaves its policy rate unchanged at its 30 October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 18

83%

1W 1 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank leaves interest rates unchanged at its 29 October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 12

63%

1W 1 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve leaves its policy rate unchanged at its 28 October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 36

86%

1W 23 Oct 2026

The Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer receives between 40 and 60 million YouTube views in its first week.

◇ Gaming spread 40 vs market +15

15%

AI vs 0%

1W 25 Oct 2026

Two Leisure Suit Larry titles are removed from the Xbox digital store on October 23, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 36

68%

1W 24 Oct 2026

NASA maintains its target of landing American astronauts on the Moon by 2028 in its October 23, 2026 update.

✦ Space spread 66

59%

1W 23 Oct 2026

U.S. industrial production increases in the October 16, 2026 release.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 10

57%

1W 23 Oct 2026

Eurostat revises Eurozone September 2026 final headline CPI relative to the preliminary estimate.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 40

16%

1W 23 Oct 2026

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 releases on October 23, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 74

79%

1W 20 Oct 2026

Submissions for the AI Toronto Shorts festival close by October 14, 2026.

♪ Culture & Media spread 19

90%

1W 20 Oct 2026

Tesla reveals the Roadster 2 on October 15, 2026.

▶ Transportation spread 70

57%

1W 20 Oct 2026

Valve launches Steam Next Fest October 2026 on October 19, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 12

97%

1W 20 Oct 2026

President Trump signs an executive order aimed at reducing diesel costs.

⚡ Energy spread 17

81%

1W 20 Oct 2026

NASA and SpaceX launch the ISS resupply mission carrying Roll-Out Solar Arrays on October 13, 2026.

✦ Space spread 62

60%

1W 12 Oct 2026

Bitcoin drops to $78,000 or lower on Binance between October 5 and October 11, 2026.✗ didn't

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 68 vs market +16

16%

AI vs 0%

1W 16 Oct 2026

The U.S. administration imposes tariffs or sanctions under the Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act by October 18, 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 78

28%

1W 16 Oct 2026

Coinbase Financial Markets closes all Michigan customer positions in sports-related event contracts by October 10, 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 15

89%

1W 16 Oct 2026

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 campaign early access launches on October 16, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 32

90%

1W 15 Oct 2026

TRISH releases its scheduled space-health briefing on Blue Origin and spaceflight risk on October 13, 2026.

✚ Health & Medicine spread 33

78%

1W 15 Oct 2026

Nature publishes research resolving how azobenzene moves in the initial picoseconds following light absorption on October 8, 2026.

✺ Science spread 10

90%

1W 15 Oct 2026

NASA concludes its participation in the 77th International Astronautical Congress by October 9, 2026.

✦ Space spread 3

97%

Every forecast,in order.

Total commitments to the 1W public token sale exceed $20M before November 3, 2026.

The Republican nominee wins the Michigan U.S. Senate election in 2026.

Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election.

The Democratic Party wins the South Carolina U.S. Senate race in 2026.

The Democratic Party wins the NC-09 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections.

A Republican candidate wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raises interest rates this week.

The Bank of Japan leaves its policy rate unchanged at its October 29–30, 2026 meeting.

The European Central Bank leaves interest rates unchanged at its October 29, 2026 meeting.

The Bank of Canada keeps interest rates unchanged on October 28, 2026.

The Federal Reserve leaves its policy rate unchanged at its October 28, 2026 decision.

Apple unveils a touch-screen MacBook Pro at its October 28, 2026 event.

The European Commission presents its climate resilience plan during the final week of October 2026.

Negotiators reach a final biodiversity agreement at COP17 in Yerevan by 30 October 2026.

NASA astronauts complete a scheduled spacewalk from the International Space Station the week of November 2, 2026.

Poland's AI Act provisions scheduled for 28 October 2026 commence on that date.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raises its official cash rate at its 29 October 2026 meeting.

The Bank of Canada raises its policy interest rate at its 29 October 2026 meeting.

The Bank of Japan raises its inflation forecasts in its 30 October 2026 outlook report.

The Bank of Japan leaves its policy rate unchanged at its 30 October 2026 meeting.

The European Central Bank leaves interest rates unchanged at its 29 October 2026 meeting.

The Federal Reserve leaves its policy rate unchanged at its 28 October 2026 meeting.

The Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer receives between 40 and 60 million YouTube views in its first week.

Two Leisure Suit Larry titles are removed from the Xbox digital store on October 23, 2026.

NASA maintains its target of landing American astronauts on the Moon by 2028 in its October 23, 2026 update.

U.S. industrial production increases in the October 16, 2026 release.

Eurostat revises Eurozone September 2026 final headline CPI relative to the preliminary estimate.

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 releases on October 23, 2026.

Submissions for the AI Toronto Shorts festival close by October 14, 2026.

Tesla reveals the Roadster 2 on October 15, 2026.

Valve launches Steam Next Fest October 2026 on October 19, 2026.

President Trump signs an executive order aimed at reducing diesel costs.

NASA and SpaceX launch the ISS resupply mission carrying Roll-Out Solar Arrays on October 13, 2026.

Bitcoin drops to $78,000 or lower on Binance between October 5 and October 11, 2026.✗ didn't

The U.S. administration imposes tariffs or sanctions under the Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act by October 18, 2026.

Coinbase Financial Markets closes all Michigan customer positions in sports-related event contracts by October 10, 2026.

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 campaign early access launches on October 16, 2026.

TRISH releases its scheduled space-health briefing on Blue Origin and spaceflight risk on October 13, 2026.

Nature publishes research resolving how azobenzene moves in the initial picoseconds following light absorption on October 8, 2026.

NASA concludes its participation in the 77th International Astronautical Congress by October 9, 2026.

Every forecast,
in order.