THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
153 questions. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of Japan raises its policy interest rate at its September 18, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
63%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
Pro-Kremlin parties retain a majority in Russia's State Duma elections concluding September 20, 2026.✓ happened
98%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The UN General Assembly adopts a joint resolution or formal declaration on Middle East conflicts before concluding on September 22, 2026.✓ happened
54%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Nevada Gaming Commission approves proposed regulation amendments at its September 17, 2026 hearing.✓ happened
75%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The FDA approves zidesamtinib by its September 18, 2026 PDUFA target action date.✓ happened
80%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of England holds the Bank Rate at 3.75% at its policy meeting during the week of September 14–18, 2026.✓ happened
80%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of Japan hikes its policy rate by 25 basis points at its September 18, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
35%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at its September 16, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
61%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Joint Security Coordination Mechanism meeting on September 16-17 produces agreed coordination measures or an updated roadmap for eastern DRC.
60%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner announce a formal breakthrough in peace talks during their Moscow and Ukraine visits.✗ didn't
12%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Brazilian Senate approves AI regulation Bill 2338/2023 on 16 September 2026.✗ didn't
56%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
China's headline year-on-year producer price index inflation is at or above 3.2% for August 2026.✓ happened
48%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
China's headline year-on-year consumer price index inflation is at or above 0.9% for August 2026.✗ didn't
51%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of Japan raises its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points at its September 18, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
72%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Federal Reserve leaves the target federal funds rate unchanged at its September 16, 2026 meeting.✗ didn't
68%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
A new game announcement or schedule reveal is made by the close of the Tokyo Game Show on September 21, 2026.✓ happened
99%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Brazilian Senate approves Bill 2338/2023 in its plenary floor vote on September 16, 2026.✗ didn't
32%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of England announces an interest rate increase on September 17, 2026.✗ didn't
8%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of Japan raises interest rates by at least 25 basis points on September 18, 2026.✓ happened
73%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its September 15-16, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
58%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.82% on September 16, 2026.✓ happened
25%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of Japan raises its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its upcoming policy meeting.✓ happened
76%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate at its September 15-16, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
69%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The opening ceremony of the 20th Asian Games Aichi-Nagoya takes place as scheduled on September 19, 2026.✓ happened
97%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
Brazil's Senate passes AI Bill 2338/2023 at its September 16, 2026 vote.✗ didn't
50%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of Japan raises interest rates by at least 25 basis points at its September 18, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
72%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting.✓ happened
58%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
U.S. headline annual CPI inflation is reported at 3.4% or higher in the September 2026 release.✗ didn't
21%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The DRC government and the M23-led AFC alliance agree to an operational ceasefire at the Geneva talks on September 16–17, 2026.✗ didn't
22%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
ENDLESS Legend 2 leaves early access with version 1.0 on PC, PS5, and Xbox Series on 17 September 2026.✓ happened
55%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
Sandbox VR opens its Melbourne venue on 14 September 2026.✓ happened
75%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Horizon Europe space call closes to proposals at 17:00 CEST on September 16, 2026.✓ happened
96%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
NASA closes submissions for LISA science-gaps input by September 16, 2026.✓ happened
95%
AI