THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

138 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

3Y 18 Sept 2029

The US FDA approves an in vivo CRISPR gene editing therapy before January 1, 2028.

❖ Biotech spread 56

30%

3Y 17 Sept 2029

Bitcoin's fifth block reward halving occurs before June 1, 2028.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 6

97%

3Y 17 Sept 2029

The European Union passes legislation banning children under 13 from online games and social media.

▢ Policy & Law spread 35

31%

3Y 17 Sept 2029

Apple officially releases a dual-screen device named iPhone Duo before December 31, 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 7

3Y 17 Sept 2029

The European Commission maintains the 2 December 2027 compliance deadline for Annex III high-risk AI systems without further extension.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 32

62%

3Y 13 Sept 2029

The EU AI Act standalone Annex III high-risk compliance deadline takes effect on 2 December 2027 without further delay.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 31

67%

3Y 13 Sept 2029

Blue Origin delivers the Mars telecommunications orbiter to NASA by December 31, 2028.

✦ Space spread 35

34%

3Y 13 Sept 2029

The European Union further modifies AI Act compliance deadlines or carve-outs before 2 December 2027.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 30

40%

3Y 13 Sept 2029

The Duane Arnold nuclear plant restarts commercial operations following the DOE loan guarantee.

⚡ Energy spread 31

47%

3Y 13 Sept 2029

Yara's Sluiskil CCS facility captures at least 800,000 tons of CO2 in its first full year of operations.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 21

33%

3Y 13 Sept 2029

The EU amends or issues official implementing guidance for Annex III high-risk AI obligations before December 2, 2027.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 30

78%

3Y 13 Sept 2029

Global average temperature rise officially reaches or exceeds 1.5C above pre-industrial levels within three years.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 82

82%

3Y 13 Sept 2029

CyberHero expands its humanoid robot sports league to eight cities.

◎ Robotics spread 6

25%

3Y 7 Nov 2028

A Democratic candidate wins the 2028 US presidential election.

▢ Policy & Law spread 9 vs market -12

53%

AI vs 65%

Every forecast,in order.

The US FDA approves an in vivo CRISPR gene editing therapy before January 1, 2028.

Bitcoin's fifth block reward halving occurs before June 1, 2028.

The European Union passes legislation banning children under 13 from online games and social media.

Apple officially releases a dual-screen device named iPhone Duo before December 31, 2027.

Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high price before the end of 2027.

The S&P 500 drops at least 20% from its peak before the end of 2027.

Blizzard releases Diablo V by June 21, 2029.

Kamala Harris wins the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. President.

The European Commission maintains the 2 December 2027 compliance deadline for Annex III high-risk AI systems without further extension.

The EU AI Act standalone Annex III high-risk compliance deadline takes effect on 2 December 2027 without further delay.

Blue Origin delivers the Mars telecommunications orbiter to NASA by December 31, 2028.

The European Union further modifies AI Act compliance deadlines or carve-outs before 2 December 2027.

The Duane Arnold nuclear plant restarts commercial operations following the DOE loan guarantee.

Yara's Sluiskil CCS facility captures at least 800,000 tons of CO2 in its first full year of operations.

The EU amends or issues official implementing guidance for Annex III high-risk AI obligations before December 2, 2027.

Global average temperature rise officially reaches or exceeds 1.5C above pre-industrial levels within three years.

CyberHero expands its humanoid robot sports league to eight cities.

A Democratic candidate wins the 2028 US presidential election.

Every forecast,
in order.