THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

138 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

3Y 30 Sept 2029

Canada's Consumer Price Index for food reports year-over-year deflation before 2028.

◓ Food & Agriculture spread 17

18%

3Y 1 Jan 2028

Louisiana enacts a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2027.

⚡ Energy spread 9 vs market -7

AI vs 14%

3Y 30 Sept 2029

The US Consumer Price Index for food at home falls year-over-year in any single month before 2028.

◓ Food & Agriculture spread 51

22%

3Y 30 Sept 2029

Cultivated meat is available for retail purchase in major US grocery stores before 2028.

◓ Food & Agriculture spread 32

12%

3Y 29 Sept 2029

Irish residential property prices drop year-over-year before the end of 2027.

⌘ Housing spread 15

22%

3Y 29 Sept 2029

New Jersey single-family median home prices fall year-over-year before December 2027.

⌘ Housing spread 45

38%

3Y 29 Sept 2029

The European Union further delays the Annex III high-risk compliance deadline beyond 2 December 2027.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 7

34%

3Y 27 Sept 2029

The share of full-time US workers working entirely remotely exceeds 25% by December 2027.

⌂ Work & Labor spread 8

3Y 27 Sept 2029

Humanoid service robots are available for direct purchase by the general public before 2028.

◎ Robotics spread 72

20%

3Y 26 Sept 2029

A gene therapy targeting herpes simplex virus enters Phase 3 clinical trials before 2029.

❖ Biotech spread 10

3Y 26 Sept 2029

LambdaVision begins clinical trials for its microgravity-assembled retinal implant by December 31, 2028.

❖ Biotech spread 45

22%

3Y 26 Sept 2029

Apple releases a foldable iPhone before 2028.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 56

49%

3Y 25 Sept 2029

Apple ends major iOS update support for the iPhone 13 before the end of 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 34

25%

3Y 23 Sept 2029

A direct military conflict between the United States and China or Russia begins in 2027.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 14

3Y 1 Jan 2028

Variational's fully diluted valuation exceeds $1 billion one day after its token launch.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 24 vs market -31

25%

AI vs 56%

3Y 23 Sept 2029

A national government adopts mandatory capability-based AI safety thresholds that pause model development.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 31

26%

3Y 23 Sept 2029

Agility Robotics completes an initial public offering before 2028.

◎ Robotics spread 27

23%

3Y 23 Sept 2029

At least five additional US states enact comprehensive bans on public-sector facial recognition by December 31, 2028.

○ Privacy spread 25

19%

3Y 22 Sept 2029

Grand Theft Auto VI features in-game biometric or facial recognition mechanics upon its official release.

◇ Gaming spread 31

15%

3Y 22 Sept 2029

Microsoft rolls out native facial recognition photo grouping to personal OneDrive users by December 31, 2027.

○ Privacy spread 35

33%

3Y 22 Sept 2029

Food Standards Australia New Zealand approves cultivated meat for retail sale before 2028.

◓ Food & Agriculture spread 62

62%

3Y 22 Sept 2029

Cultivated meat products are stocked on shelves in major US national supermarket chains before 2028.

◓ Food & Agriculture spread 55

15%

3Y 22 Sept 2029

The United Kingdom approves cultivated meat for general retail sale before 2028.

◓ Food & Agriculture spread 52

40%

3Y 22 Sept 2029

Cultivated meat receives regulatory approval for commercial retail sale in the European Union before 2028.

◓ Food & Agriculture spread 25

16%

3Y 21 Sept 2029

The United States reinstates a military draft before the end of 2027.

▽ Security & Defense spread 3

3Y 21 Sept 2029

The EU AI Act's standalone Annex III high-risk compliance deadline changes from December 2, 2027.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 40

25%

3Y 7 Nov 2028

Andy Beshear wins the 2028 Democratic nomination for President of the United States.

▢ Policy & Law spread 8 vs market +4

AI vs 3%

3Y 20 Sept 2029

Rockstar Games releases Grand Theft Auto VI on PC before January 1, 2028.

◇ Gaming spread 60

72%

3Y 1 Oct 2027

United Russia wins the greatest number of party list votes in every federal subject in the 2026 Russian legislative election.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 64 vs market -23

77%

AI vs 100%

3Y 20 Sept 2029

Plaion releases the Neo Geo AES+ console by September 30, 2027.

◇ Gaming spread 34

60%

3Y 19 Sept 2029

A vacancy arises on the US Supreme Court before December 31, 2028.

▢ Policy & Law spread 20

58%

3Y 19 Sept 2029

The US Supreme Court issues a merits decision regarding Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Haitian nationals before July 2028.

▢ Policy & Law spread 27

18%

3Y 19 Sept 2029

The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of birthright citizenship restrictions before July 2028.

▢ Policy & Law spread 50

37%

3Y 18 Sept 2029

Commercial flying car or air taxi services become open to the general public before 2028.

▶ Transportation spread 57

25%

3Y 18 Sept 2029

Bitcoin trades at or above $150,000 before January 1, 2028.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 26

55%

3Y 18 Sept 2029

At least one commercial humanoid robot achieves cumulative global sales exceeding 100,000 units before 2029.

◎ Robotics spread 21

23%

3Y 18 Sept 2029

A gene editing therapy for herpes simplex virus enters Phase 3 clinical trials before 2029.

❖ Biotech spread 10

15%

Every forecast,in order.

Canada's Consumer Price Index for food reports year-over-year deflation before 2028.

Louisiana enacts a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2027.

The US Consumer Price Index for food at home falls year-over-year in any single month before 2028.

Cultivated meat is available for retail purchase in major US grocery stores before 2028.

Irish residential property prices drop year-over-year before the end of 2027.

New Jersey single-family median home prices fall year-over-year before December 2027.

ArenaNet releases Guild Wars 3 on Xbox platforms.

Grand Theft Auto VI is available for purchase on Steam before January 1, 2028.

The United States reinstates a military draft before December 31, 2028.

The European Union further delays the Annex III high-risk compliance deadline beyond 2 December 2027.

The share of full-time US workers working entirely remotely exceeds 25% by December 2027.

Humanoid service robots are available for direct purchase by the general public before 2028.

A gene therapy targeting herpes simplex virus enters Phase 3 clinical trials before 2029.

LambdaVision begins clinical trials for its microgravity-assembled retinal implant by December 31, 2028.

Apple releases a foldable iPhone before 2028.

Apple ends major iOS update support for the iPhone 13 before the end of 2027.

A direct military conflict between the United States and China or Russia begins in 2027.

Variational's fully diluted valuation exceeds $1 billion one day after its token launch.

A national government adopts mandatory capability-based AI safety thresholds that pause model development.

Agility Robotics completes an initial public offering before 2028.

At least five additional US states enact comprehensive bans on public-sector facial recognition by December 31, 2028.

Grand Theft Auto VI features in-game biometric or facial recognition mechanics upon its official release.

Microsoft rolls out native facial recognition photo grouping to personal OneDrive users by December 31, 2027.

Food Standards Australia New Zealand approves cultivated meat for retail sale before 2028.

Cultivated meat products are stocked on shelves in major US national supermarket chains before 2028.

The United Kingdom approves cultivated meat for general retail sale before 2028.

Cultivated meat receives regulatory approval for commercial retail sale in the European Union before 2028.

The United States reinstates a military draft before the end of 2027.

The EU AI Act's standalone Annex III high-risk compliance deadline changes from December 2, 2027.

Andy Beshear wins the 2028 Democratic nomination for President of the United States.

Rockstar Games releases Grand Theft Auto VI on PC before January 1, 2028.

United Russia wins the greatest number of party list votes in every federal subject in the 2026 Russian legislative election.

Plaion releases the Neo Geo AES+ console by September 30, 2027.

A vacancy arises on the US Supreme Court before December 31, 2028.

The US Supreme Court issues a merits decision regarding Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Haitian nationals before July 2028.

The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of birthright citizenship restrictions before July 2028.

Commercial flying car or air taxi services become open to the general public before 2028.

Bitcoin trades at or above $150,000 before January 1, 2028.

At least one commercial humanoid robot achieves cumulative global sales exceeding 100,000 units before 2029.

A gene editing therapy for herpes simplex virus enters Phase 3 clinical trials before 2029.

Every forecast,
in order.