THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
97 questions in Policy & Law. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1Y
1 Jul 2027
Oklahoma enacts a statewide moratorium on new data centers by June 30, 2027.
4%
AI vs 17%
3M
31 Dec 2026
The European Union formally extends its Russia sanctions regime currently under review.
90%
AI
3Y
1 Jan 2028
Oklahoma enacts a statewide data center moratorium by December 31, 2027.
6%
AI vs 22%
3Y
1 Jan 2028
Missouri enacts a statewide data center moratorium by December 31, 2027.
4%
AI vs 14%
3M
4 Nov 2026
The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
63%
AI vs 34%
3M
4 Nov 2026
The Republican nominee wins the Ohio U.S. Senate race in 2026.
77%
AI vs 31%
1Y
29 Sept 2027
The US Supreme Court issues a ruling on the constitutionality of state AR-15 or assault weapon bans before July 2027.
40%
AI
1Y
29 Sept 2027
The US Supreme Court issues a decision addressing birthright citizenship before July 2027.
54%
AI
1M
27 Oct 2026
The Governor of California signs the clean energy and climate bills passed at the end of the 2026 legislative session.
86%
AI
1M
26 Oct 2026
A revised UN sanctions-monitoring mechanism on Iran is adopted before the current arrangement lapses.
10%
AI
1W
2 Oct 2026
Draft environmental resolutions are formally tabled or adopted before the close of the UN General Assembly high-level session on September 28, 2026.
90%
AI
3M
4 Nov 2026
Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election.
5%
AI vs 3%
3M
3 Nov 2026
The Republican nominee wins the Nebraska U.S. Senate race in 2026.
91%
AI vs 73%
3M
3 Nov 2026
Dan Sullivan wins reelection in the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate race.
80%
AI vs 26%
3M
22 Dec 2026
The White House officially restores press credentials to all three barred news outlets by December 31, 2026.
25%
AI
3M
22 Dec 2026
The White House imposes tariffs on nations importing Russian oil and gas under the Lindsey O. Graham Act by December 31, 2026.
25%
AI
3M
21 Dec 2026
The Election Commission of India publishes the draft electoral roll for the upcoming assembly cycle before December 2026.
84%
AI
3Y
7 Nov 2028
Andy Beshear wins the 2028 Democratic nomination for President of the United States.
7%
AI vs 3%
1Y
1 Jul 2027
BYD is fully removed from the Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027.
12%
AI vs 16%
3M
20 Dec 2026
The United States imposes a 100% tariff on imports from India over purchases of Russian oil.
12%
AI
3Y
19 Sept 2029
A vacancy arises on the US Supreme Court before December 31, 2028.
58%
AI
3Y
19 Sept 2029
The US Supreme Court issues a merits decision regarding Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Haitian nationals before July 2028.
18%
AI
3M
19 Dec 2026
The U.S. Senate passes H.J. Res. 210 or H.J. Res. 213 under the Congressional Review Act to repeal maritime ship air-pollution limits.
55%
AI
1Y
20 Sept 2027
The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of the Illinois Protect Illinois Communities Act (PICA) before July 2027.
36%
AI
1Y
20 Sept 2027
The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of a state assault weapons ban before July 2027.
38%
AI
3Y
19 Sept 2029
The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of birthright citizenship restrictions before July 2028.
37%
AI
1Y
20 Sept 2027
The US Supreme Court issues a major ruling on mail-in ballot regulations before the end of the October 2026 term.
34%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
Samuel Alito announces his retirement from the Supreme Court by December 31, 2026.
10%
AI vs 14%
3M
18 Dec 2026
The UN Security Council takes formal action or holds a vote regarding Iran's nuclear program.
50%
AI
3Y
17 Sept 2029
The European Union passes legislation banning children under 13 from online games and social media.
31%
AI
3M
17 Dec 2026
California enforces the revised Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions reporting deadline under SB 253 on 10 November 2026.
70%
AI
3M
3 Nov 2026
Republicans win majorities in both the US Senate and House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
38%
AI vs 7%
1W
24 Sept 2026
The United States and China agree to extend their October 2025 trade truce at their September 24, 2026 summit.✗ didn't
62%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
Donald Trump ceases to be President of the United States before 2027.
6%
AI vs 4%
3M
3 Nov 2026
The Republican Party wins control of the US House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
34%
AI vs 8%
1Y
17 Sept 2027
A New York federal court rules the CFTC holds exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets.
29%
AI
1Y
17 Sept 2027
The Canadian government reduces or repeals its 50% counter-tariff on video game consoles.
38%
AI
1W
22 Sept 2026
The United States and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24, 2026 summit.✗ didn't
32%
AI
3Y
7 Nov 2028
Kamala Harris wins the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. President.
18%
AI vs 6%
3M
3 Nov 2026
The Democratic Party wins control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
66%
AI vs 92%