THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
97 questions in Policy & Law. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1W
4 Nov 2026
The Republican nominee wins the Michigan U.S. Senate election in 2026.
36%
AI vs 28%
1W
4 Nov 2026
Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election.
10%
AI vs 97%
1W
4 Nov 2026
The Democratic Party wins the South Carolina U.S. Senate race in 2026.
4%
AI vs 28%
1W
4 Nov 2026
The Democratic Party wins the NC-09 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections.
13%
AI vs 32%
1W
4 Nov 2026
A Republican candidate wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina.
97%
AI vs 73%
3M
26 Jan 2027
The 60-day pause on sweeping U.S. sanctions against Russia expires without being extended.
38%
AI
1M
26 Nov 2026
South Korea's culture ministry announces new funding or formal esports policy changes at G-STAR 2026.
62%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
The Republican nominee wins the Maine U.S. Senate election in 2026.
25%
AI vs 39%
1M
4 Nov 2026
The Republican nominee wins the Texas gubernatorial election in 2026.
90%
AI vs 69%
3Y
8 Nov 2028
J.D. Vance wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination.
44%
AI vs 38%
1M
4 Nov 2026
A proposition establishing a one-time wealth tax on billionaires passes in California's 2026 general election.
4%
AI vs 22%
3M
1 Jan 2027
France enters a declared state of emergency by December 31, 2026.
6%
AI vs 8%
3M
1 Dec 2026
A new White House Press Secretary is announced by November 30, 2026.
18%
AI vs 35%
1M
17 Nov 2026
The United States imposes duties on imports from the top five buyers of Russian oil and gas following the October 18, 2026 executive order trigger.
30%
AI
1Y
18 Oct 2027
Representative Ritchie Torres introduces legislation regarding digital game ownership in the US Congress.
71%
AI
1M
1 Nov 2026
The Trump administration announces a new permanent White House Press Secretary by October 31, 2026.
38%
AI vs 3%
3M
14 Jan 2027
The European Union adopts additional sanctions listings against Russia before December 31, 2026.
89%
AI
3M
14 Jan 2027
The United States and China maintain their bilateral trade truce through January 2027.
73%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The US Supreme Court issues a decision on the legality of presidential tariff authority before July 2027.
70%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of birthright citizenship before the end of June 2027.
45%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The US Supreme Court issues a ruling in a major ballroom or historic dance hall licensing dispute before the end of its 2026-2027 term.
3%
AI
6M
12 Apr 2027
The US-China trade truce remains in effect through January 31, 2027.
66%
AI
10Y
10 Oct 2036
The European Union or the United States enacts a nationwide ban on sales of new internal combustion engine passenger cars taking effect by 2035.
70%
AI
1Y
12 Oct 2027
A federal court issues an injunction or ruling against the presidential executive order blocking state AI regulations.
67%
AI
1Y
11 Oct 2027
A court strikes down the Trump administration's relaxed vehicle fuel-economy rules.
40%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
The Democratic Party wins the Michigan U.S. Senate election in 2026.
61%
AI vs 70%
1W
16 Oct 2026
The U.S. administration imposes tariffs or sanctions under the Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act by October 18, 2026.
28%
AI
1M
8 Nov 2026
Israel holds its general election on October 27, 2026.
88%
AI
1W
16 Oct 2026
Coinbase Financial Markets closes all Michigan customer positions in sports-related event contracts by October 10, 2026.
89%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections.
48%
AI vs 27%
1M
6 Nov 2026
Israel holds its planned national elections before the end of October 2026.
91%
AI
3Y
6 Oct 2029
A new justice is confirmed to the US Supreme Court before January 2029.
50%
AI
1M
6 Nov 2026
The US Supreme Court issues a decision on state mail-in ballot deadlines before November 2026.
25%
AI
3Y
8 Nov 2028
Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 Democratic nomination for President of the United States.
13%
AI vs 5%
1M
4 Nov 2026
A Democrat wins the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
45%
AI vs 70%
1Y
5 Oct 2027
Iraq completes its roadmap to bring all weapons outside state control under government authority by June 30, 2027.
12%
AI
3M
4 Nov 2026
The Democratic nominee wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas.
20%
AI vs 69%
3M
4 Nov 2026
A Republican candidate wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas.
94%
AI vs 61%
3M
4 Nov 2026
A Republican candidate wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas.
82%
AI vs 32%
3M
4 Nov 2026
A Democrat wins the Kansas US Senate seat in the 2026 midterm election.
6%
AI vs 38%