THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
69 questions in Climate & Environment. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
6M
19 Mar 2027
The U.S. EPA finalizes its proposed repeal of power-plant greenhouse-gas regulations following the public comment period ending November 2, 2026.
48%
AI
50Y
5 Sept 2076
Global net greenhouse gas emissions reach net zero before 2050.
8%
AI
1Y
18 Sept 2027
The European Union formally adopts the plan granting additional free CO2 permits to industrial sectors.
62%
AI
1W
25 Sept 2026
The EU LIFE programme closes submissions for its climate and energy funding calls on 22 September 2026.✓ happened
97%
AI
50Y
3 Sept 2076
Global climate damage causes annual economic losses exceeding 10% of global GDP before 2045.
7%
AI
50Y
3 Sept 2076
Global average surface temperatures persistently exceed 2.0°C above pre-industrial levels before 2040.
28%
AI
10Y
13 Sept 2036
Multiple major Earth system tipping points become irreversible before 2035.
16%
AI
50Y
3 Sept 2076
Climate change triggers the collapse of human civilization before 2075.
3%
AI
6M
15 Mar 2027
El Niño conditions continue through February 2027.
90%
AI
1Y
16 Sept 2027
The EU's carbon border levy emergency brake clause is retained following negotiations with member states.
38%
AI
1Y
15 Sept 2027
An appellate court reverses or stays the federal ruling striking down New York's Climate Change Superfund Act.
38%
AI
3M
13 Dec 2026
Brazil and China announce a bilateral carbon-market agreement at COP31 in November 2026.
33%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
Unobligated EPA Environmental and Climate Justice Block Grant funds revert to the US Treasury after September 30, 2026.
75%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The IPCC bureau issues formal decisions or next-step instructions during its meeting on September 15-16, 2026.✓ happened
87%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The UN General Assembly formally adopts new commitments on climate action and the just transition at its high-level meeting on September 23, 2026.✗ didn't
37%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
All Paris Agreement signatories submit their second-round biennial transparency reports to the UNFCCC by December 31, 2026.
3%
AI
3M
13 Dec 2026
CARB reports compliance from all covered companies by the extended November 10, 2026 deadline for SB 253 Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions.
10%
AI
3M
13 Dec 2026
Brazil and China announce an agreement on Brazilian carbon credit purchases by COP31 in November 2026.
58%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
The WMO confirms El Niño conditions remain active through February 2027.
50%
AI
3M
13 Dec 2026
The Pacific Islands Forum or UN climate talks announce dedicated new climate funding for Pacific island nations.
72%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
Nepal secures official funding pledges toward its $5 billion post-flood reconstruction need.✗ didn't
72%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
Official marine data confirms Spain's sea temperatures reached record highs during summer 2026.✓ happened
78%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
The WMO reports that El Niño conditions continue through February 2027.
77%
AI
3Y
13 Sept 2029
Yara's Sluiskil CCS facility captures at least 800,000 tons of CO2 in its first full year of operations.
33%
AI
3Y
13 Sept 2029
Global average temperature rise officially reaches or exceeds 1.5C above pre-industrial levels within three years.
82%
AI
3M
13 Dec 2026
Brazil and China announce a bilateral carbon market accord by COP31 in November 2026.
30%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
Indonesia's fire emissions for September 2026 remain the highest globally among national full-month tallies.
62%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
The ongoing El Niño event persists through at least February 2027.
11%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
Spain's official tally of heatwave days in 2026 remains at 61 following the year-end climate reporting cycle.
48%
AI