THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

139 questions in Markets & Economy. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

1Y 10 Oct 2027

The S&P 500 drops by at least 20% from its recent peak before July 2027.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 25

23%

1M 9 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank raises key interest rates at its next monetary policy meeting following September 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 62

63%

3M 8 Jan 2027

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at the December 9, 2026 FOMC meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 24

1M 9 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at the October 28, 2026 FOMC meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 35

20%

1M 7 Nov 2026

The BEA's initial estimate of U.S. annualized real GDP growth for Q3 2026 is at least 2.2%.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 27

56%

3M 6 Jan 2027

The Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its December 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 24

16%

3M 6 Jan 2027

Euro-area headline inflation reaches or exceeds 4.0% year-over-year by the end of 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 59

63%

1M 7 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank signals further policy tightening at its October 2026 policy decision.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 45

35%

1M 7 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged at its October 27-28, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 52

73%

1W 13 Oct 2026

The Reserve Bank of India raises its policy rate to 5.5% during the week of October 5, 2026.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 82

77%

1M 5 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank increases interest rates at its October 2026 policy meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 49

25%

1M 5 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at the October 27-28, 2026 FOMC meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 26

18%

3Y 2 Oct 2029

The S&P 500 experiences a single-day decline of at least 7% before the end of 2027.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 53

15%

3M 1 Jan 2027

The Federal Reserve raises its 2026 core PCE inflation projection at its next Summary of Economic Projections.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 47

35%

1W 10 Oct 2026

The upcoming U.S. headline PCE inflation reading meets or exceeds 3.7% year over year.✗ didn't

▲ Markets & Economy spread 21

43%

1M 2 Nov 2026

The next Euro-area composite PMI release remains at or above 53.1.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 20

38%

3M 1 Jan 2027

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate in December 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 32

17%

1M 2 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at its October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 44

29%

1Y 3 Oct 2027

Euro-area headline inflation remains above the ECB's target through the first half of 2027.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 49

50%

1Y 3 Oct 2027

The Japanese yen weakens against the U.S. dollar over the next weekly trading period.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 19

52%

1W 7 Oct 2026

Crude oil prices settle above $100 per barrel at the next daily settlement.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 12

1W 7 Oct 2026

U.S. Treasury yields close above 5% at the next weekly market close.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 34

33%

1M 30 Oct 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at its October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 29

20%

3M 9 Dec 2026

The Federal Reserve leaves the target federal funds rate unchanged at its December 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 38 vs market +32

50%

AI vs 18%

3M 9 Dec 2026

The Federal Reserve hikes the target federal funds rate before the end of its December 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 14 vs market -70

AI vs 77%

3M 27 Dec 2026

The Bank of Japan raises interest rates at its next scheduled policy decision.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 20

29%

3M 27 Dec 2026

The Bank of England raises its policy rate at its next scheduled decision.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 26

15%

3M 27 Dec 2026

The Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate at its October 28-29, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 32

20%

3M 27 Dec 2026

The European Central Bank raises interest rates at its October 30, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 40

30%

3M 9 Dec 2026

The Federal Reserve increases interest rates by 25 basis points at its December 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 11 vs market -72

AI vs 76%

1W 3 Oct 2026

The US 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 2.85% in the next daily Fed H.15 statistical release.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 34

54%

1M 26 Oct 2026

Euro-area headline annual inflation rises in the next official Eurostat flash estimate.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 29

42%

3M 25 Dec 2026

The Bank of England raises Bank Rate at its next scheduled MPC decision.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 30

19%

3M 25 Dec 2026

The European Central Bank increases its deposit rate at its next policy meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 38

28%

3M 25 Dec 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at its next scheduled policy meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 34

31%

1M 24 Oct 2026

The U.S. Consumer Price Index for September 2026 rises month-over-month when released on October 13, 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 25

77%

3M 23 Dec 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its policy rate at the November 3-4, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 52

38%

Every forecast,in order.

The S&P 500 drops by at least 20% from its recent peak before July 2027.

The European Central Bank raises key interest rates at its next monetary policy meeting following September 2026.

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at the December 9, 2026 FOMC meeting.

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at the October 28, 2026 FOMC meeting.

The BEA's initial estimate of U.S. annualized real GDP growth for Q3 2026 is at least 2.2%.

The Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its December 2026 meeting.

Euro-area headline inflation reaches or exceeds 4.0% year-over-year by the end of 2026.

The European Central Bank signals further policy tightening at its October 2026 policy decision.

The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged at its October 27-28, 2026 meeting.

The Reserve Bank of India raises its policy rate to 5.5% during the week of October 5, 2026.✓ happened

The European Central Bank increases interest rates at its October 2026 policy meeting.

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at the October 27-28, 2026 FOMC meeting.

The S&P 500 experiences a single-day decline of at least 7% before the end of 2027.

The Federal Reserve raises its 2026 core PCE inflation projection at its next Summary of Economic Projections.

The upcoming U.S. headline PCE inflation reading meets or exceeds 3.7% year over year.✗ didn't

The next Euro-area composite PMI release remains at or above 53.1.

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate in December 2026.

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at its October 2026 meeting.

Euro-area headline inflation remains above the ECB's target through the first half of 2027.

The S&P 500 closes higher over the next 12 months than its current level.

The S&P 500 drops by at least 20% from its recent peak before the end of 2027.

The S&P 500 reaches a new all-time high before July 1, 2027.

The Japanese yen weakens against the U.S. dollar over the next weekly trading period.✓ happened

Crude oil prices settle above $100 per barrel at the next daily settlement.✓ happened

U.S. Treasury yields close above 5% at the next weekly market close.✓ happened

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at its October 2026 meeting.

The Federal Reserve leaves the target federal funds rate unchanged at its December 2026 meeting.

The Federal Reserve hikes the target federal funds rate before the end of its December 2026 meeting.

The Bank of Japan raises interest rates at its next scheduled policy decision.

The Bank of England raises its policy rate at its next scheduled decision.

The Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate at its October 28-29, 2026 meeting.

The European Central Bank raises interest rates at its October 30, 2026 meeting.

The Federal Reserve increases interest rates by 25 basis points at its December 2026 meeting.

The US 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 2.85% in the next daily Fed H.15 statistical release.✓ happened

Euro-area headline annual inflation rises in the next official Eurostat flash estimate.

The Bank of England raises Bank Rate at its next scheduled MPC decision.

The European Central Bank increases its deposit rate at its next policy meeting.

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at its next scheduled policy meeting.

The U.S. Consumer Price Index for September 2026 rises month-over-month when released on October 13, 2026.

The Federal Reserve raises its policy rate at the November 3-4, 2026 meeting.

Every forecast,
in order.