THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

221 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
3M 13 Dec 2026

IAEA inspectors regain access to monitor Iran's enriched uranium stockpiles.

▽ Security & Defense spread 43
20%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

Russia and Ukraine announce a broader frontline ceasefire.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 12
17%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

The United States and Iran announce a formal ceasefire.

▽ Security & Defense spread 50
18%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

China's solar power capacity remains higher than coal capacity in the next official national energy statistics.

⚡ Energy spread 10
90%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its final operational orbit within three months of launch.

✦ Space spread 90
11%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

The EU AI Act watermarking and metadata deadline for legacy generative AI systems takes effect on December 2, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 90
76%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

Israel and Lebanon reach a formal ceasefire or security arrangement regarding southern Lebanon.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 28
25%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

The UK North Sea gasfield approval decision is announced after the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.

▢ Policy & Law spread 61
73%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

NASA's Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit by the end of November 2026.

✦ Space spread 84
82%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

The U.K., France, and Canada formally implement new trade restrictions on Israel.

▢ Policy & Law spread 44
23%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

Microsoft adjusts its announced Xbox Cloud Gaming monthly hour limits before the end of November 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 35
33%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

Brazil and China announce a bilateral carbon market accord by COP31 in November 2026.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 31
30%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

NASA's Roman Space Telescope successfully enters its final operational orbit by December 1, 2026.

✦ Space spread 8
88%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

The Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate at its October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 52
58%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

Houthi forces establish territorial control over additional coastal territory along the Red Sea.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 43
18%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

Russia and Ukraine accept a frontline ceasefire following diplomatic visits by U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 19
16%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

Michigan's Campbell coal plant remains closed following the federal court ruling.

⚡ Energy spread 18
87%
AI
3M 13 Dec 2026

The Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit by November 30, 2026.

✦ Space spread 11
88%
AI
3M 9 Dec 2026

The Federal Reserve increases the target federal funds rate in 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 15 vs market -94
6%
AI vs 100%
3M 3 Nov 2026

The Democratic Party wins majorities in both the US Senate and House of Representatives in the 2026 midterms.

▢ Policy & Law spread 24 vs market -44
22%
AI vs 66%
3M 3 Nov 2026

The Democratic Party wins control of the US Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.

▢ Policy & Law spread 21 vs market -36
31%
AI vs 67%