THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

221 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

3M 18 Dec 2026

The UN Security Council takes formal action or holds a vote regarding Iran's nuclear program.

▢ Policy & Law spread 40

50%

3M 18 Dec 2026

A bilateral or trilateral ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine is officially announced.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 24

25%

3M 17 Dec 2026

Rayman Legends Retold releases on or before December 3, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 20

72%

3M 17 Dec 2026

California enforces the revised Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions reporting deadline under SB 253 on 10 November 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 23

70%

3M 3 Nov 2026

Republicans win majorities in both the US Senate and House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.

▢ Policy & Law spread 40 vs market +31

38%

AI vs 7%

3M 17 Dec 2026

NASA's Roman Space Telescope reaches its final operational orbit within three months of its August 30 launch.

✦ Space spread 22

88%

3M 17 Dec 2026

The European Central Bank pauses rate hikes at its next scheduled monetary policy meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 12

67%

3M 1 Nov 2026

The US announces the end, lifting, or suspension of its naval blockade of Iran by October 31, 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 27 vs market +6

12%

AI vs 6%

3M 3 Nov 2026

The Republican Party wins control of the US House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.

▢ Policy & Law spread 50 vs market +26

34%

AI vs 8%

3M 15 Dec 2026

The Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit and completes initial commissioning on schedule.

✦ Space spread 20

82%

3M 28 Oct 2026

The Federal Reserve increases interest rates by 25 basis points after its October 2026 FOMC meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 15 vs market +6

AI vs 0%

3M 14 Dec 2026

Resident Evil 2, 3, and 4 remakes all release on Nintendo Switch 2 in October 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 50

25%

3M 9 Dec 2026

The Federal Reserve raises the target federal funds rate by the completion of its October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 15 vs market -94

AI vs 100%

3M 3 Nov 2026

The Democratic Party wins control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.

▢ Policy & Law spread 25 vs market -26

66%

AI vs 92%

3M 14 Dec 2026

Sony releases its limited-edition DualSense controllers on November 19, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 26

78%

3M 14 Dec 2026

The White House extends the Jones Act waiver beyond its mid-November 2026 deadline.

⚡ Energy spread 40

29%

3M 14 Dec 2026

The UK government delays its decision on a North Sea gasfield until after the Holborn and St Pancras byelection.

▢ Policy & Law spread 52

56%

3M 28 Oct 2026

The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged at its October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 56 vs market -35

60%

AI vs 95%

3M 13 Dec 2026

BepiColombo achieves Mercury orbital capture by November 21, 2026.

✦ Space spread 10

87%

3M 13 Dec 2026

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its planned operational orbit by November 30, 2026.

✦ Space spread 18

90%

3M 13 Dec 2026

The European Commission AI Office fills about 40 contractual agent posts ahead of the December 2026 enforcement deadline.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 60

78%

3M 13 Dec 2026

Yemeni government or coalition forces recapture strategic coastal positions held by Houthi forces along the Red Sea.

▽ Security & Defense spread 17

18%

3M 13 Dec 2026

OPEC+ agrees to adjust crude oil production levels at its next scheduled meeting.

⚡ Energy spread 46

65%

3M 13 Dec 2026

Microsoft imposes a 15-hour monthly cap on Xbox Cloud Gaming for Game Pass users in November 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 44

62%

3M 13 Dec 2026

Brazil and China announce a bilateral carbon-market agreement at COP31 in November 2026.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 34

33%

3M 13 Dec 2026

CARB reports compliance from all covered companies by the extended November 10, 2026 deadline for SB 253 Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 15

10%

3M 13 Dec 2026

The Roman Space Telescope reaches its final operational orbit by December 2026.

✦ Space spread 5

92%

3M 13 Dec 2026

The European Central Bank raises policy rates again by December 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 54

36%

3M 13 Dec 2026

The Houthis maintain control over Perim Island through October 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 74

68%

3M 13 Dec 2026

Microsoft implements cloud gaming limits on Xbox Game Pass in November 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 37

44%

3M 13 Dec 2026

Brazil and China announce an agreement on Brazilian carbon credit purchases by COP31 in November 2026.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 37

58%

3M 13 Dec 2026

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit around L2 following its August 2026 launch.

✦ Space spread 6

92%

3M 13 Dec 2026

The European Central Bank raises rates at its October 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 43

36%

3M 13 Dec 2026

The IAEA confirms that Iran has restored inspector access to nuclear facilities.

▽ Security & Defense spread 45

18%

3M 13 Dec 2026

The Pacific Islands Forum or UN climate talks announce dedicated new climate funding for Pacific island nations.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 56

72%

3M 13 Dec 2026

ESA's BepiColombo mission achieves Mercury polar-orbit capture on or before November 21, 2026.

✦ Space spread 76

84%

3M 13 Dec 2026

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit by November 30, 2026.

✦ Space spread 24

88%

Every forecast,in order.

The UN Security Council takes formal action or holds a vote regarding Iran's nuclear program.

A bilateral or trilateral ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine is officially announced.

Rayman Legends Retold releases on or before December 3, 2026.

California enforces the revised Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions reporting deadline under SB 253 on 10 November 2026.

Republicans win majorities in both the US Senate and House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.

NASA's Roman Space Telescope reaches its final operational orbit within three months of its August 30 launch.

Apple releases the iPhone 18 Pro Max before October 31, 2026.

Apple releases the iPhone 18 before October 31, 2026.

The S&P 500 closes lower month-over-month in October 2026.

The European Central Bank pauses rate hikes at its next scheduled monetary policy meeting.

The US announces the end, lifting, or suspension of its naval blockade of Iran by October 31, 2026.

The Republican Party wins control of the US House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.

The Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit and completes initial commissioning on schedule.

The Federal Reserve increases interest rates by 25 basis points after its October 2026 FOMC meeting.

Resident Evil 2, 3, and 4 remakes all release on Nintendo Switch 2 in October 2026.

The Federal Reserve raises the target federal funds rate by the completion of its October 2026 meeting.

The Democratic Party wins control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.

Sony releases its limited-edition DualSense controllers on November 19, 2026.

The White House extends the Jones Act waiver beyond its mid-November 2026 deadline.

The UK government delays its decision on a North Sea gasfield until after the Holborn and St Pancras byelection.

The Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged at its October 2026 meeting.

BepiColombo achieves Mercury orbital capture by November 21, 2026.

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its planned operational orbit by November 30, 2026.

The European Commission AI Office fills about 40 contractual agent posts ahead of the December 2026 enforcement deadline.

Yemeni government or coalition forces recapture strategic coastal positions held by Houthi forces along the Red Sea.

OPEC+ agrees to adjust crude oil production levels at its next scheduled meeting.

Microsoft imposes a 15-hour monthly cap on Xbox Cloud Gaming for Game Pass users in November 2026.

Brazil and China announce a bilateral carbon-market agreement at COP31 in November 2026.

CARB reports compliance from all covered companies by the extended November 10, 2026 deadline for SB 253 Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions.

The Roman Space Telescope reaches its final operational orbit by December 2026.

The European Central Bank raises policy rates again by December 2026.

The Houthis maintain control over Perim Island through October 2026.

Microsoft implements cloud gaming limits on Xbox Game Pass in November 2026.

Brazil and China announce an agreement on Brazilian carbon credit purchases by COP31 in November 2026.

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit around L2 following its August 2026 launch.

The European Central Bank raises rates at its October 2026 meeting.

The IAEA confirms that Iran has restored inspector access to nuclear facilities.

The Pacific Islands Forum or UN climate talks announce dedicated new climate funding for Pacific island nations.

ESA's BepiColombo mission achieves Mercury polar-orbit capture on or before November 21, 2026.

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit by November 30, 2026.

Every forecast,
in order.