THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

212 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

1M 14 Oct 2026

U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner announce a concrete ceasefire framework between Russia and Ukraine.✗ didn't

⬢ Geopolitics spread 33

12%

1M 14 Oct 2026

Saudi Arabia reopens the East-West pipeline following the drone attack from Iraq.✓ happened

⚡ Energy spread 16

78%

1M 14 Oct 2026

Supercell completes its acquisition of Metacore by September 30, 2026.✗ didn't

◇ Gaming spread 24

82%

1M 14 Oct 2026

Unobligated EPA Environmental and Climate Justice Block Grant funds revert to the US Treasury after September 30, 2026.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 37

75%

1M 14 Oct 2026

GSK begins its Phase III efficacy trial for FLUm3HA.b-3NA in September 2026.

❖ Biotech spread 66

63%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China hold bilateral AI safety talks before the end of September 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 17

83%

1M 14 Oct 2026

Governor Gavin Newsom signs the Frontier AI Safety Act into law by 30 September 2026.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 35

38%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at their meeting on September 24, 2026.✓ happened

▢ Policy & Law spread 25

40%

1M 14 Oct 2026

A copyright, trademark, or trade dress lawsuit is filed regarding White House Arcade by October 5, 2026.✗ didn't

◇ Gaming spread 9

1M 14 Oct 2026

Supercell closes its acquisition of Metacore by the end of September 2026.✗ didn't

◇ Gaming spread 24

88%

1M 14 Oct 2026

External power is successfully restored to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant following the local ceasefire repairs.✗ didn't

⚡ Energy spread 58

67%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The UK government formally approves the Jackdaw gas project in September 2026.✗ didn't

⚡ Energy spread 51

59%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The FDA approves zilganersen by its September 22, 2026 PDUFA target action date.✓ happened

❖ Biotech spread 30

77%

1M 14 Oct 2026

China's updated cyberspace security inspection rules take effect on 1 October 2026.✓ happened

▽ Security & Defense spread 9

92%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States conducts additional military strikes against Iranian targets by the end of September 2026.✓ happened

▽ Security & Defense spread 40

52%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China agree to extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24 summit in Washington, DC.✗ didn't

▢ Policy & Law spread 38

30%

1M 14 Oct 2026

Russia and Ukraine reach an agreement on a broader ceasefire beyond the three-day strike halt.✗ didn't

⬢ Geopolitics spread 10

13%

1M 14 Oct 2026

Nepal secures official funding pledges toward its $5 billion post-flood reconstruction need.✗ didn't

◉ Climate & Environment spread 62

72%

1M 14 Oct 2026

Official marine data confirms Spain's sea temperatures reached record highs during summer 2026.✓ happened

◉ Climate & Environment spread 16

78%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The UK approves the North Sea Jackdaw gas project in September 2026.✗ didn't

⚡ Energy spread 53

60%

1M 14 Oct 2026

At least one AI incident report is formally submitted under the EU Cyber Resilience Act in September 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 65

25%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China hold bilateral AI safety talks in September 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 21

78%

1M 14 Oct 2026

California Governor Gavin Newsom signs SB 813 into law by 30 September 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 44

62%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China agree to extend their trade truce at the September 24 Washington summit.✓ happened

▢ Policy & Law spread 15

65%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The DRC and M23-led AFC alliance convene talks under the Doha framework following the Geneva security meeting.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 29

38%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The FIVB Men's Volleyball World Championship concludes with an official champion on September 28, 2026.✗ didn't

◐ Sports spread 6

97%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The UK approves the Jackdaw North Sea gas project by September 30, 2026.✗ didn't

⚡ Energy spread 30

67%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The Governor of California signs SB 1000 into law by September 30, 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 60

63%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The U.S. PCE price index increases month-over-month in the report released on September 30, 2026.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 20

82%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The US and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24, 2026 bilateral summit.✓ happened

▢ Policy & Law spread 16

62%

1M 14 Oct 2026

External power is fully restored to the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant following localized ceasefire repairs.

⚡ Energy spread 60

58%

1M 14 Oct 2026

US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner broker an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 14

1M 14 Oct 2026

Commercial tanker transit through the Strait of Hormuz is halted due to military strikes.

▽ Security & Defense spread 21

15%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China extend their bilateral trade truce during the September 24, 2026 summit.

▢ Policy & Law spread 34

57%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and Canada allow U.S. import bans on select Canadian goods to take effect by September 30, 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 32

68%

1M 14 Oct 2026

The final match of the FIFA U-20 Women's World Cup 2026 takes place on September 27, 2026.

◐ Sports spread 12

97%

Every forecast,in order.

U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner announce a concrete ceasefire framework between Russia and Ukraine.✗ didn't

Saudi Arabia reopens the East-West pipeline following the drone attack from Iraq.✓ happened

Supercell completes its acquisition of Metacore by September 30, 2026.✗ didn't

Unobligated EPA Environmental and Climate Justice Block Grant funds revert to the US Treasury after September 30, 2026.

GSK begins its Phase III efficacy trial for FLUm3HA.b-3NA in September 2026.

The United States and China hold bilateral AI safety talks before the end of September 2026.✓ happened

Governor Gavin Newsom signs the Frontier AI Safety Act into law by 30 September 2026.✗ didn't

The United States and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at their meeting on September 24, 2026.✓ happened

A copyright, trademark, or trade dress lawsuit is filed regarding White House Arcade by October 5, 2026.✗ didn't

Supercell closes its acquisition of Metacore by the end of September 2026.✗ didn't

External power is successfully restored to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant following the local ceasefire repairs.✗ didn't

The UK government formally approves the Jackdaw gas project in September 2026.✗ didn't

The FDA approves zilganersen by its September 22, 2026 PDUFA target action date.✓ happened

China's updated cyberspace security inspection rules take effect on 1 October 2026.✓ happened

The United States conducts additional military strikes against Iranian targets by the end of September 2026.✓ happened

The United States and China agree to extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24 summit in Washington, DC.✗ didn't

Russia and Ukraine reach an agreement on a broader ceasefire beyond the three-day strike halt.✗ didn't

Nepal secures official funding pledges toward its $5 billion post-flood reconstruction need.✗ didn't

Official marine data confirms Spain's sea temperatures reached record highs during summer 2026.✓ happened

The UK approves the North Sea Jackdaw gas project in September 2026.✗ didn't

At least one AI incident report is formally submitted under the EU Cyber Resilience Act in September 2026.

The United States and China hold bilateral AI safety talks in September 2026.✓ happened

California Governor Gavin Newsom signs SB 813 into law by 30 September 2026.✓ happened

The United States and China agree to extend their trade truce at the September 24 Washington summit.✓ happened

The DRC and M23-led AFC alliance convene talks under the Doha framework following the Geneva security meeting.

The FIVB Men's Volleyball World Championship concludes with an official champion on September 28, 2026.✗ didn't

The UK approves the Jackdaw North Sea gas project by September 30, 2026.✗ didn't

The Governor of California signs SB 1000 into law by September 30, 2026.✓ happened

The U.S. PCE price index increases month-over-month in the report released on September 30, 2026.✓ happened

The US and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24, 2026 bilateral summit.✓ happened

External power is fully restored to the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant following localized ceasefire repairs.

US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner broker an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine.

Commercial tanker transit through the Strait of Hormuz is halted due to military strikes.

The US and Iran agree to a formal bilateral ceasefire.

The UK government approves the North Sea Jackdaw gas project in September 2026.

California's governor signs SB 1000 into law by September 30, 2026.

California's governor signs SB 813 into law by September 30, 2026.

The United States and China extend their bilateral trade truce during the September 24, 2026 summit.

The United States and Canada allow U.S. import bans on select Canadian goods to take effect by September 30, 2026.

The final match of the FIFA U-20 Women's World Cup 2026 takes place on September 27, 2026.

Every forecast,
in order.