THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

212 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1M 14 Oct 2026

Indonesia's fire emissions for September 2026 remain the highest globally among national full-month tallies.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 61
62%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

California Governor Gavin Newsom signs SB 1047 into law by September 30, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 8
2%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The Bank of England keeps its benchmark interest rate unchanged at its September 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 20
75%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

Official investigators formally attribute the September 13 Strait of Hormuz commercial vessel attack to Iran or affiliated forces.

▽ Security & Defense spread 60
60%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The UK government delays the North Sea gasfield approval decision until after the Holborn and St Pancras byelection.

⚡ Energy spread 60
68%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

Indonesian health ministry reports show another week-on-week increase in respiratory infections from wildfires in the next official update.

✚ Health & Medicine spread 33
64%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

Ministers approve the North Sea Jackdaw gas project before October 2026.

⚡ Energy spread 16
78%
AI
1M 1 Oct 2026

Ethereum reaches $3,200 on Binance during September 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 45 vs market +52
52%
AI vs 0%
1M 1 Oct 2026

Iran and Oman announce a diplomatic agreement on Strait of Hormuz maritime traffic by September 30, 2026.✗ didn't

⬢ Geopolitics spread 10 vs market +6
6%
AI vs 0%
1M 1 Oct 2026

Israel initiates a major closure of its civilian airspace by September 30, 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 12 vs market -88
12%
AI vs 100%
1M 1 Oct 2026

Active-month WTI crude oil futures trade at or above $105 per barrel during September 2026.✓ happened

⚡ Energy spread 35 vs market -96
4%
AI vs 100%
1M 30 Sept 2026

United Russia gains the most seats in the September 2026 Russian State Duma election.✓ happened

⬢ Geopolitics spread 57 vs market -55
45%
AI vs 100%