THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

221 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

3M 13 Jan 2027

The European Commission finalizes draft gas-capacity allocation rules following its four-week consultation launched on October 14, 2026.

⚡ Energy spread 60

65%

3M 13 Jan 2027

The European Commission finalizes its energy-sector methane-emissions reporting templates within four weeks of launch.

⚡ Energy spread 69

13%

3M 13 Jan 2027

EU ministers agree on a coordinated strategic reserve release through the IEA to curb energy prices.

⚡ Energy spread 14

15%

3M 13 Jan 2027

COP31 results in an agreement on the EU-proposed greenhouse-gas emissions reduction package.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 20

16%

3M 13 Jan 2027

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attends a formal US-Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 20 vs market -11

12%

AI vs 23%

3M 12 Jan 2027

The United States enacts a military draft before the end of 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 2

3M 12 Jan 2027

Negotiators announce an agreed ceasefire or peace framework between Russia and Ukraine resulting from the Miami talks.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 9

12%

3M 11 Jan 2027

Countries adopt a formal emissions-cutting agreement package at COP31 in Antalya.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 42

35%

3M 11 Jan 2027

The European Commission adopts the final implementing regulation on methane-emissions reporting templates following the four-week feedback period.

⚡ Energy spread 23

82%

3M 1 Jan 2027

Ukraine recaptures territory in Crimea by December 31, 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 5 vs market +1

AI vs 3%

3M 10 Jan 2027

Apple launches an iPhone 18 Air by December 31, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 82

46%

3M 10 Jan 2027

Russian diesel exports to the United States officially resume under the announced Trump-Putin agreement.

⚡ Energy spread 34

12%

3M 10 Jan 2027

Apple releases an iPhone 18 series smartphone before December 31, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 6

96%

3M 10 Jan 2027

Apple releases an iPhone 18 Plus model by December 31, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 18

10%

3M 10 Jan 2027

Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 25

19%

3M 9 Jan 2027

Cristiano Ronaldo receives a formal suspension or disciplinary punishment from Portugal's national football team.

◐ Sports spread 35

11%

3M 9 Jan 2027

AMD launches FSR 4 for handheld devices by the end of 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 54

66%

3M 8 Jan 2027

Anthropic's policy prohibiting abusive behavior directed at Claude takes effect on November 12, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 19

88%

3M 8 Jan 2027

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at the December 9, 2026 FOMC meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 24

3M 7 Jan 2027

Microsoft or Playground Games officially confirms a January 2027 PS5 release for Forza Horizon 6.

◇ Gaming spread 32

25%

3M 7 Jan 2027

Duke Energy appeals the North Carolina regulatory rejection of its 255 MW gas plant expansion by end of 2026.

⚡ Energy spread 42

53%

3M 7 Jan 2027

The European Union formally weakens its planned phaseout of internal combustion engine vehicles by end of 2026.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 65

50%

3M 7 Jan 2027

The US Senate passes the American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 by December 31, 2026.

⚡ Energy spread 22

22%

3M 6 Jan 2027

Legislation defining 'Super Intelligence' is submitted to the U.S. Congress within 60 days of the executive order.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 50

63%

3M 6 Jan 2027

The Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its December 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 24

16%

3M 6 Jan 2027

Euro-area headline inflation reaches or exceeds 4.0% year-over-year by the end of 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 59

63%

3M 1 Jan 2027

The World Health Organization characterizes any plague outbreak as a pandemic before the end of 2026.

✚ Health & Medicine spread 1 vs market 0

AI vs 2%

3M 5 Jan 2027

Pakistani and Turkish military forces officially deploy to Saudi Arabia.

▽ Security & Defense spread 29

21%

3M 5 Jan 2027

The public comment period for the Corpus Christi Stage 4 draft EIS closes on 9 November 2026.

⚡ Energy spread 64

73%

3M 4 Jan 2027

The Trump administration submits draft legislation legally defining 'Super Intelligence' by late November 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 64

25%

3M 1 Jan 2027

Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain by December 31, 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 27 vs market -8

12%

AI vs 20%

3M 3 Jan 2027

Houthi forces enter Taiz City by December 31, 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 14

12%

3M 3 Jan 2027

The Pentagon deploys a third aircraft carrier strike group to the Middle East before December 31, 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 30

22%

3M 3 Jan 2027

The United States conducts military strikes against Iran between November 4, 2026, and December 31, 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 14

14%

3M 3 Jan 2027

Steam surpasses $20 billion in annual game sales for the year 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 71

65%

3M 2 Jan 2027

Bitcoin does not set a new 52-week low before the end of 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 40

62%

Every forecast,in order.

The European Commission finalizes draft gas-capacity allocation rules following its four-week consultation launched on October 14, 2026.

The European Commission finalizes its energy-sector methane-emissions reporting templates within four weeks of launch.

EU ministers agree on a coordinated strategic reserve release through the IEA to curb energy prices.

COP31 results in an agreement on the EU-proposed greenhouse-gas emissions reduction package.

Grand Theft Auto VI releases on Xbox Series X/S before January 1, 2027.

The United States commences a military invasion of Cuba in 2026.

Houthi military forces enter Aden, Yemen by December 31, 2026.

Russia and Ukraine hold direct diplomatic peace talks by November 30, 2026.

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attends a formal US-Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026.

The United States enacts a military draft before the end of 2026.

Negotiators announce an agreed ceasefire or peace framework between Russia and Ukraine resulting from the Miami talks.

Countries adopt a formal emissions-cutting agreement package at COP31 in Antalya.

The European Commission adopts the final implementing regulation on methane-emissions reporting templates following the four-week feedback period.

Ukraine recaptures territory in Crimea by December 31, 2026.

Apple launches an iPhone 18 Air by December 31, 2026.

Russian diesel exports to the United States officially resume under the announced Trump-Putin agreement.

Apple releases an iPhone 18 series smartphone before December 31, 2026.

Apple releases an iPhone 18 Plus model by December 31, 2026.

Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire.

Cristiano Ronaldo receives a formal suspension or disciplinary punishment from Portugal's national football team.

AMD launches FSR 4 for handheld devices by the end of 2026.

Anthropic's policy prohibiting abusive behavior directed at Claude takes effect on November 12, 2026.

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at the December 9, 2026 FOMC meeting.

Microsoft or Playground Games officially confirms a January 2027 PS5 release for Forza Horizon 6.

Duke Energy appeals the North Carolina regulatory rejection of its 255 MW gas plant expansion by end of 2026.

The European Union formally weakens its planned phaseout of internal combustion engine vehicles by end of 2026.

The US Senate passes the American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 by December 31, 2026.

Legislation defining 'Super Intelligence' is submitted to the U.S. Congress within 60 days of the executive order.

The Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its December 2026 meeting.

Euro-area headline inflation reaches or exceeds 4.0% year-over-year by the end of 2026.

The World Health Organization characterizes any plague outbreak as a pandemic before the end of 2026.

Pakistani and Turkish military forces officially deploy to Saudi Arabia.

The public comment period for the Corpus Christi Stage 4 draft EIS closes on 9 November 2026.

The Trump administration submits draft legislation legally defining 'Super Intelligence' by late November 2026.

Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain by December 31, 2026.

Houthi forces enter Taiz City by December 31, 2026.

The Pentagon deploys a third aircraft carrier strike group to the Middle East before December 31, 2026.

The United States conducts military strikes against Iran between November 4, 2026, and December 31, 2026.

Steam surpasses $20 billion in annual game sales for the year 2026.

Bitcoin does not set a new 52-week low before the end of 2026.

Every forecast,
in order.