Work & Labor predictions

32 dated questions on layoffs, unions, remote work, automation — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price. Of those, 4 have passed their deadlines and been graded against cited sources.

Work & Labor predictions

Full-time employment in commercial graphic and visual arts drops by over 20% before 2028.

AI causes net global employment to decline by at least 5% before 2030.

Autonomous robotics cause a net decline in total global employment before 2035.

The US Employment Cost Index rises in the report released on October 30, 2026.

U.S. initial jobless claims fall in the next weekly report prior to the October 27-28 Fed meeting.

US fully remote employment falls below 5% of all private sector jobs by 2028.

Remote workers make up a larger share of the US workforce in 2028 than in 2024.

AI systems automate the majority of existing human occupations before 2035.

AI systems automate more than 50% of routine software engineering roles by 2029.

AI displacement causes US net job losses exceeding five million by 2030.

The percentage of US employees working primarily remotely increases in 2027 compared to 2026.

AI systems pass the Uniform CPA Examination and automate 25% of entry-level accounting roles before 2028.

Global unemployment exceeds 15% due to AI automation before 2035.

AI displacement leads to net US employment loss in white-collar sectors before 2030.

The U.S. Employment Cost Index rises in the report released on October 30, 2026.

U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ended September 19 meet or exceed 201,000.✗ didn't

The share of full-time US workers working entirely remotely exceeds 25% by December 2027.

Financial sector employment in major economies drops by at least 15% due to AI automation before 2030.

Total employment of software developers in the United States declines by at least 20% by 2030.

AI systems automate more than 50% of current occupational tasks in the United States before 2035.

A major government statistical agency attributes net national employment decline directly to AI adoption before 2030.

Robots displace more than 20% of global manufacturing jobs by 2035.

US initial jobless claims come in below 200,000 in the next weekly report.✓ happened

Australia reports positive net employment growth in its jobs release on September 24, 2026.✓ happened

U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending September 19 show an increase when reported on Sept. 24.✗ didn't

The Glasgow employment tribunal issues a ruling regarding the dismissal of 31 Rockstar developers by October 16, 2026.

AI code generation reduces total software engineer employment in the US by 2030.

AI leads to a net decline in US accounting and auditing employment by 2030.

Robotics and AI displace at least 10% of existing manufacturing and logistics jobs globally before 2032.

AI automates the majority of current human occupations before 2040.

AI causes net global job losses across major economies by 2030.

The next official U.S. employment report shows nonfarm payroll growth exceeding consensus expectations.