Consumer Tech predictions

48 dated questions on phones, AR/VR, wearables, chips, launches — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price. Of those, 2 have passed their deadlines and been graded against cited sources.

forecasts
48
average odds
51%
settled
2
came true
100%

Next deadline · Apple launches or officially announces the "HomePad" device on October 13, 2026.

1M 28 Nov 2026

Meta's revised commercial terms take effect on 20 November 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 33
80%
AI
5Y 27 Oct 2031

A quantum computer solves an economically valuable problem faster than classical computers before 2030.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 48
20%
AI
1W 3 Nov 2026

Apple unveils a touch-screen MacBook Pro at its October 28, 2026 event.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 57
42%
AI
10Y 24 Oct 2036

A fault-tolerant quantum computer demonstrates commercial quantum advantage before 2032.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 54
17%
AI
1Y 27 Oct 2027

Apple includes an iPhone 17 Pro Max in its iPhone 17 lineup announcement.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 94
83%
AI
1Y 27 Oct 2027

Apple includes an iPhone 17 Plus in its iPhone 17 lineup announcement.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 10
5%
AI
3Y 25 Oct 2029

Apple releases the iPhone 20 commercially before the end of 2028.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 66
72%
AI
1Y 26 Oct 2027

The iPhone 18 is available for retail purchase in stores before October 1, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 93
92%
AI
3Y 25 Oct 2029

Apple releases a dual-screen or foldable phone branded iPhone Duo by the end of 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 29
6%
AI
1M 15 Nov 2026

Nvidia halts production of GeForce RTX 5090 graphics cards.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 66
30%
AI
1M 12 Nov 2026

Infinix launches the GT 50 Pro in India on October 27, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 26
78%
AI
10Y 10 Oct 2036

Commercial desktop quantum computers become available for direct consumer purchase before 2035.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 6
4%
AI
10Y 10 Oct 2036

Quantum computers demonstrate mainstream commercial advantage over classical computers before 2032.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 20
20%
AI
1M 11 Nov 2026

Apple officially announces the iPhone 18 series before October 31, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 75
96%
AI
3M 10 Jan 2027

Apple launches an iPhone 18 Air by December 31, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 82
46%
AI
3M 10 Jan 2027

Apple releases an iPhone 18 series smartphone before December 31, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 6
96%
AI
3M 10 Jan 2027

Apple releases an iPhone 18 Plus model by December 31, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 18
10%
AI
3M 9 Jan 2027

AMD launches FSR 4 for handheld devices by the end of 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 54
66%
AI
5Y 5 Oct 2031

A fault-tolerant commercial quantum computing service is offered to enterprise customers before 2030.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 30
20%
AI
1Y 5 Oct 2027

Apple officially announces an iPhone 17e model by December 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 84
39%
AI
3Y 4 Oct 2029

Apple releases a second-generation ultra-thin iPhone Air model before 2028.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 33
73%
AI
3Y 4 Oct 2029

Apple releases an iPhone model designated as iPhone 19 by December 2028.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 80
80%
AI
3Y 4 Oct 2029

Apple releases an iPhone model designated as iPhone 18 by December 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 25
90%
AI
3Y 4 Oct 2029

Apple ceases major iOS software version updates for the iPhone 12 by December 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 30
75%
AI
3Y 1 Jan 2028

Texas enacts a statewide data center moratorium by December 31, 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 5 vs market -15
6%
AI vs 21%
3Y 1 Jan 2028

Indiana enacts a statewide data center moratorium by December 31, 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 6 vs market -13
4%
AI vs 17%
1M 1 Nov 2026

Apple launches or officially announces the "HomePad" device on October 13, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 55
48%
AI
1M 1 Nov 2026

Apple announces a smart home camera that does not record video by October 13, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 25
15%
AI
3M 29 Dec 2026

Apple announces an updated iPad mini, Apple TV, HomePod mini, or home hub in October or November 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 16
70%
AI
3M 29 Dec 2026

Apple updates the 14-inch MacBook Pro with an M6 chip by the end of 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 44
67%
AI
1Y 30 Sept 2027

Apple releases a standard iPhone successor in spring 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 41
43%
AI
3M 29 Dec 2026

Qualcomm launches both the Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6 and Snapdragon 8 Elite Extreme Gen 6 flagship platforms in 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 74
70%
AI
10Y 24 Sept 2036

A general-purpose quantum computer is made publicly available for direct consumer purchase before 2035.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 5
4%
AI
3Y 26 Sept 2029

Apple releases a foldable iPhone before 2028.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 56
49%
AI
1Y 27 Sept 2027

Apple releases the iPhone 18 Pro before October 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 89
94%
AI
1Y 27 Sept 2027

Apple announces the iPhone 18 before October 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 93
94%
AI
1Y 27 Sept 2027

Apple cuts the official retail base price of the iPhone 17 before October 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 93
85%
AI
3Y 25 Sept 2029

Apple ends major iOS update support for the iPhone 13 before the end of 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 34
25%
AI
1Y 26 Sept 2027

Apple releases the iPhone 18 before October 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 69
90%
AI
1W 30 Sept 2026

TP-Link begins preorders for the Archer 8 Ultra Wi-Fi 8 router on September 30, 2026.✓ happened

▣ Consumer Tech spread 37
82%
AI
1Y 21 Sept 2027

OpenAI or Microsoft reaches a formal settlement in the September 2026 news publishers copyright lawsuit by September 20, 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 34
32%
AI
10Y 16 Sept 2036

A quantum computer successfully cracks a standard 256-bit elliptic-curve private key before 2035.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 11
6%
AI
10Y 16 Sept 2036

A fault-tolerant quantum computer is made commercially available before 2032.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 51
24%
AI
3M 17 Dec 2026

Apple releases the iPhone 18 Pro Max before October 31, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 8
90%
AI
3Y 17 Sept 2029

Apple officially releases a dual-screen device named iPhone Duo before December 31, 2027.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 7
4%
AI
3M 17 Dec 2026

Apple releases the iPhone 18 before October 31, 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 82
92%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

NVIDIA completes its acquisition of Hugging Face.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 52
45%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

Sandbox VR opens its Melbourne venue on 14 September 2026.✓ happened

▣ Consumer Tech spread 43
75%
AI
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