Consumer Tech predictions
48 dated questions on phones, AR/VR, wearables, chips, launches — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price. Of those, 2 have passed their deadlines and been graded against cited sources.
- forecasts
- 48
- average odds
- 51%
- settled
- 2
- came true
- 100%
1M
28 Nov 2026
Meta's revised commercial terms take effect on 20 November 2026.
80%
AI
5Y
27 Oct 2031
A quantum computer solves an economically valuable problem faster than classical computers before 2030.
20%
AI
1W
3 Nov 2026
Apple unveils a touch-screen MacBook Pro at its October 28, 2026 event.
42%
AI
10Y
24 Oct 2036
A fault-tolerant quantum computer demonstrates commercial quantum advantage before 2032.
17%
AI
1Y
27 Oct 2027
Apple includes an iPhone 17 Pro Max in its iPhone 17 lineup announcement.
83%
AI
1Y
27 Oct 2027
Apple includes an iPhone 17 Plus in its iPhone 17 lineup announcement.
5%
AI
3Y
25 Oct 2029
Apple releases the iPhone 20 commercially before the end of 2028.
72%
AI
1Y
26 Oct 2027
The iPhone 18 is available for retail purchase in stores before October 1, 2026.
92%
AI
3Y
25 Oct 2029
Apple releases a dual-screen or foldable phone branded iPhone Duo by the end of 2027.
6%
AI
1M
15 Nov 2026
Nvidia halts production of GeForce RTX 5090 graphics cards.
30%
AI
1M
12 Nov 2026
Infinix launches the GT 50 Pro in India on October 27, 2026.
78%
AI
10Y
10 Oct 2036
Commercial desktop quantum computers become available for direct consumer purchase before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
10 Oct 2036
Quantum computers demonstrate mainstream commercial advantage over classical computers before 2032.
20%
AI
1M
11 Nov 2026
Apple officially announces the iPhone 18 series before October 31, 2026.
96%
AI
3M
10 Jan 2027
Apple launches an iPhone 18 Air by December 31, 2026.
46%
AI
3M
10 Jan 2027
Apple releases an iPhone 18 series smartphone before December 31, 2026.
96%
AI
3M
10 Jan 2027
Apple releases an iPhone 18 Plus model by December 31, 2026.
10%
AI
3M
9 Jan 2027
AMD launches FSR 4 for handheld devices by the end of 2026.
66%
AI
5Y
5 Oct 2031
A fault-tolerant commercial quantum computing service is offered to enterprise customers before 2030.
20%
AI
1Y
5 Oct 2027
Apple officially announces an iPhone 17e model by December 2026.
39%
AI
3Y
4 Oct 2029
Apple releases a second-generation ultra-thin iPhone Air model before 2028.
73%
AI
3Y
4 Oct 2029
Apple releases an iPhone model designated as iPhone 19 by December 2028.
80%
AI
3Y
4 Oct 2029
Apple releases an iPhone model designated as iPhone 18 by December 2027.
90%
AI
3Y
4 Oct 2029
Apple ceases major iOS software version updates for the iPhone 12 by December 2027.
75%
AI
3Y
1 Jan 2028
Texas enacts a statewide data center moratorium by December 31, 2027.
6%
AI vs 21%
3Y
1 Jan 2028
Indiana enacts a statewide data center moratorium by December 31, 2027.
4%
AI vs 17%
1M
1 Nov 2026
Apple launches or officially announces the "HomePad" device on October 13, 2026.
48%
AI
1M
1 Nov 2026
Apple announces a smart home camera that does not record video by October 13, 2026.
15%
AI
3M
29 Dec 2026
Apple announces an updated iPad mini, Apple TV, HomePod mini, or home hub in October or November 2026.
70%
AI
3M
29 Dec 2026
Apple updates the 14-inch MacBook Pro with an M6 chip by the end of 2026.
67%
AI
1Y
30 Sept 2027
Apple releases a standard iPhone successor in spring 2027.
43%
AI
3M
29 Dec 2026
Qualcomm launches both the Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6 and Snapdragon 8 Elite Extreme Gen 6 flagship platforms in 2026.
70%
AI
10Y
24 Sept 2036
A general-purpose quantum computer is made publicly available for direct consumer purchase before 2035.
4%
AI
3Y
26 Sept 2029
Apple releases a foldable iPhone before 2028.
49%
AI
1Y
27 Sept 2027
Apple releases the iPhone 18 Pro before October 2026.
94%
AI
1Y
27 Sept 2027
Apple announces the iPhone 18 before October 2026.
94%
AI
1Y
27 Sept 2027
Apple cuts the official retail base price of the iPhone 17 before October 2026.
85%
AI
3Y
25 Sept 2029
Apple ends major iOS update support for the iPhone 13 before the end of 2027.
25%
AI
1Y
26 Sept 2027
Apple releases the iPhone 18 before October 2026.
90%
AI
1W
30 Sept 2026
TP-Link begins preorders for the Archer 8 Ultra Wi-Fi 8 router on September 30, 2026.✓ happened
82%
AI
1Y
21 Sept 2027
OpenAI or Microsoft reaches a formal settlement in the September 2026 news publishers copyright lawsuit by September 20, 2027.
32%
AI
10Y
16 Sept 2036
A quantum computer successfully cracks a standard 256-bit elliptic-curve private key before 2035.
6%
AI
10Y
16 Sept 2036
A fault-tolerant quantum computer is made commercially available before 2032.
24%
AI
3M
17 Dec 2026
Apple releases the iPhone 18 Pro Max before October 31, 2026.
90%
AI
3Y
17 Sept 2029
Apple officially releases a dual-screen device named iPhone Duo before December 31, 2027.
4%
AI
3M
17 Dec 2026
Apple releases the iPhone 18 before October 31, 2026.
92%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
NVIDIA completes its acquisition of Hugging Face.
45%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
Sandbox VR opens its Melbourne venue on 14 September 2026.✓ happened
75%
AI
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