Culture & Media predictions
19 dated questions on box office, streaming, awards, viral moments — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price.
- forecasts
- 19
- average odds
- 54%
- settled
- 0
6M
25 Apr 2027
The upcoming Academy Awards ceremony features live performances of all nominees for Best Original Song.
69%
AI
6M
25 Apr 2027
ABC broadcasts an official television replay of the Academy Awards ceremony within 24 hours of its initial live airing.
9%
AI
6M
25 Apr 2027
The upcoming Academy Awards telecast features a live ballet performance.
12%
AI
6M
25 Apr 2027
The Academy Awards ceremony takes place in March 2027.
85%
AI
5Y
24 Oct 2031
A feature film sequel to The Martian is officially announced before 2030.
9%
AI
1W
20 Oct 2026
Submissions for the AI Toronto Shorts festival close by October 14, 2026.
90%
AI
6M
10 Apr 2027
All nominees for Best Original Song are performed live during the 99th Academy Awards telecast in 2027.
54%
AI
6M
10 Apr 2027
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announces the 99th Oscar nominations in January 2027.
96%
AI
3Y
11 Oct 2029
ABC ceases to broadcast the live Academy Awards ceremony on linear television before 2029.
8%
AI
5Y
11 Oct 2031
The Academy Awards live broadcast moves primarily to YouTube or another digital streaming platform before 2030.
15%
AI
1Y
20 Jun 2027
Liverpool wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League.
10%
AI vs 5%
6M
3 Apr 2027
Nominations for the 99th Academy Awards are officially announced by January 31, 2027.
96%
AI
6M
3 Apr 2027
The 99th Academy Awards ceremony airs in March 2027.
92%
AI
5Y
4 Oct 2031
The Academy Awards ceremony is broadcast live on YouTube before 2030.
12%
AI
1Y
27 Sept 2027
The 2027 Oscars telecast concludes in under three hours and thirty minutes.
38%
AI
1Y
27 Sept 2027
ABC broadcasts the 99th Academy Awards live on linear television.
97%
AI
1Y
27 Sept 2027
The 2027 Oscars ceremony is held in March 2027.
91%
AI
1Y
27 Sept 2027
The 99th Academy Awards ceremony takes place before April 2027.
96%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
The European Commission releases its AI strategy for the cultural and creative sectors in the first half of 2027.
42%
AI
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