Food & Agriculture predictions
15 dated questions on harvests, prices, lab meat, famine — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price.
- forecasts
- 15
- average odds
- 19%
- settled
- 0
3Y
8 Oct 2029
The European Food Safety Authority approves the commercial sale of cultivated meat before 2028.
30%
AI
10Y
6 Oct 2036
Cultivated meat surpasses 10 percent of total global meat consumption by volume before 2035.
3%
AI
3Y
8 Oct 2029
Cultivated meat becomes widely available in major US grocery supermarkets before 2028.
4%
AI
3Y
30 Sept 2029
The UK Consumer Prices Index for food and non-alcoholic beverages registers negative annual inflation before 2028.
30%
AI
3Y
30 Sept 2029
Canada's Consumer Price Index for food reports year-over-year deflation before 2028.
18%
AI
3Y
30 Sept 2029
The US Consumer Price Index for food at home falls year-over-year in any single month before 2028.
22%
AI
50Y
18 Sept 2076
Cultivated meat accounts for more than 10% of global meat sales by 2040.
4%
AI
5Y
30 Sept 2031
India approves cultivated meat for commercial sale before 2030.
25%
AI
3Y
30 Sept 2029
Cultivated meat is available for retail purchase in major US grocery stores before 2028.
12%
AI
5Y
22 Sept 2031
Cultivated ground beef reaches price parity with conventional ground beef in US retail stores before 2030.
4%
AI
5Y
22 Sept 2031
Cultivated meat accounts for at least 1% of global retail meat sales volume by 2031.
3%
AI
3Y
22 Sept 2029
Food Standards Australia New Zealand approves cultivated meat for retail sale before 2028.
62%
AI
3Y
22 Sept 2029
Cultivated meat products are stocked on shelves in major US national supermarket chains before 2028.
15%
AI
3Y
22 Sept 2029
The United Kingdom approves cultivated meat for general retail sale before 2028.
40%
AI
3Y
22 Sept 2029
Cultivated meat receives regulatory approval for commercial retail sale in the European Union before 2028.
16%
AI
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