Nature & Oceans predictions

8 dated questions on ice, species, conservation, reefs — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price. One has since passed its deadline and been graded against cited sources.

forecasts
8
average odds
54%
settled
1
came true
0%
1W 3 Nov 2026

Negotiators reach a final biodiversity agreement at COP17 in Yerevan by 30 October 2026.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 55
51%
AI
1M 16 Nov 2026

Participating nations submit revised biodiversity plans at COP17 to meet 2030 targets.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 80
51%
AI
1M 8 Nov 2026

The 2026 UN Biodiversity Conference (COP17) convenes in Yerevan on October 19, 2026.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 7
93%
AI
1M 6 Nov 2026

The ISSB publishes its nature exposure draft by 31 October 2026.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 55
62%
AI
50Y 19 Sept 2076

The Amazon rainforest crosses a tipping point into widespread savanna degradation before 2050.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 26
25%
AI
1Y 27 Sept 2027

The U.S. Department of Agriculture finalizes the repeal of the Roadless Area Conservation Rule.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 60
48%
AI
50Y 11 Sept 2076

Cumulative deforestation reaches 40% of the original Amazon rainforest biome before 2050.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 55
13%
AI
1W 25 Sept 2026

The USDA public comment period on repealing the Roadless Area Conservation Rule closes on 21 September 2026.✗ didn't

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 23
92%
AI
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