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Privacy predictions

9 dated questions on surveillance, data law, encryption, breaches — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price.

forecasts: 9
average odds: 51%
settled: 0

The UK Information Commissioner's Office closes its call for evidence on agentic AI data protection on 20 November 2026.

○ Privacy spread 15

The European Commission closes its public consultation on the proposed EU Kids Act by November 26, 2026.

○ Privacy spread 15

The National Cybersecurity Alliance schedules Data Privacy Week for late January 2027.

○ Privacy spread 5

3Y 30 Sept 2029

A comprehensive federal data privacy law is enacted in the United States before 2028.

○ Privacy spread 12

California's new child-safety and social-media AI provisions take effect as scheduled on January 1, 2027.

○ Privacy spread 37

3Y 23 Sept 2029

At least five additional US states enact comprehensive bans on public-sector facial recognition by December 31, 2028.

○ Privacy spread 25

3Y 22 Sept 2029

Microsoft rolls out native facial recognition photo grouping to personal OneDrive users by December 31, 2027.

○ Privacy spread 35

The FTC finalizes its personalized pricing policy statement following the September 18, 2026 comment deadline.

○ Privacy spread 53

1Y 14 Sept 2027

The FTC issues a final rule or enforcement policy statement on personalized pricing following the September 25, 2026 comment deadline.

○ Privacy spread 45