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Housing predictions

10 dated questions on prices, mortgages, construction, rent — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price.

forecasts: 10
average odds: 46%
settled: 0

Next deadline · 30 Sept 2027 US national home prices post a new all-time high by mid-2027 according to the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index.

Nationwide UK house prices drop at least 5% year-over-year before end-2027.

⌘ Housing spread 28

The US Case-Shiller National Home Price Index drops at least 10% from its peak before end-2028.

⌘ Housing spread 12

Melbourne median dwelling values post an annual gain before end-2027.

⌘ Housing spread 29

The QV House Price Index reports annual nationwide price growth in New Zealand before end-2027.

⌘ Housing spread 54

The CoreLogic Australian Home Value Index records a nationwide quarter-over-quarter decline before end-2027.

⌘ Housing spread 50

The US Case-Shiller National Home Price Index posts a year-over-year decline before end-2027.

⌘ Housing spread 41

3Y 29 Sept 2029

Irish residential property prices drop year-over-year before the end of 2027.

⌘ Housing spread 15

3Y 29 Sept 2029

New Jersey single-family median home prices fall year-over-year before December 2027.

⌘ Housing spread 45

1Y 30 Sept 2027

US national home prices post a new all-time high by mid-2027 according to the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index.

⌘ Housing spread 20

1Y 30 Sept 2027

The US median existing-home sales price declines year-over-year before July 2027.

⌘ Housing spread 45